The totally off-topic thread

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medhead

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Well I took yesterday off as well. Only because I wasn't going to fly to Sydney yesterday, and then sit around doing nothing today. So I had Australia day yesterday and have been hard at work today. Which gets me to the point of this post. I've been catching up on risk assessments. Have just pumped out a report with the following line. I read these things every time and am not sure if they make sense (even if I do get the point as the author). I'd be interested in views on whether this sounds like a big risk or a small risk to AFFers. BTW this is a risk that take place over 10 years.

Theoretically the risk is approximately equivalent to the risk of death when travelling 925,000 km in a car in NSW
 

JohnK

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The jury came out momentarily, asked for clarification and then asked to be excused for another 3 weeks....
 
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Pushka

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And nugget gets a gig with the Australian cricket team again. A very loyal fan of SA state and national cricket for many years.
 

erkpod

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I can add my name to the list of those people who worked on Australia Day Eve.

I haven't checked in here for a while so I thought I'd say hi while I'm having a chilled Australia Day off.

I've quite been enjoying my 4 day a week part time work but this might be coming to an end after 6 months. I want it to continue & it may be extended. It's been really good for both mum & I. It's so good knowing I only work Monday - Thursday.

I am, however, thinking of a career change. I've potentially got another 25 years left & don't want to be driving trains & doing shiftwork in 25 years - I see what happens to my older colleagues & how it affects them.

In other news, I've been ice skating for about 3 months now, 3 times a week. To assist that, I thought I'd try yoga & pilates for added flexibility. As a beginner, I much preferred pilates. Yoga for a beginner in the class was too advanced for me. My dog is running in the paddock across the road from the YMCA.
 

Cynicor

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Well I took yesterday off as well. Only because I wasn't going to fly to Sydney yesterday, and then sit around doing nothing today. So I had Australia day yesterday and have been hard at work today. Which gets me to the point of this post. I've been catching up on risk assessments. Have just pumped out a report with the following line. I read these things every time and am not sure if they make sense (even if I do get the point as the author). I'd be interested in views on whether this sounds like a big risk or a small risk to AFFers. BTW this is a risk that take place over 10 years.

No idea. Over 10 years it sounds low risk. The comparison to something that most people do every day regardless of risk makes it harder to quantify, I feel.
The opposite would be to phrase it in terms of BASE jumps.

If it's possible, may I ask the risk in terms of an absolute?
 

medhead

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No idea. Over 10 years it sounds low risk. The comparison to something that most people do every day regardless of risk makes it harder to quantify, I feel.
The opposite would be to phrase it in terms of BASE jumps.

If it's possible, may I ask the risk in terms of an absolute?

In reading that sentence I kept flicking between, 'If I drove 10000000 km there is a massive chance of dying in a crash', and 'no way I'll ever drive a million km therefore no chance of dying'. Just trying to gauge the emotional response of others.

The absolute risk is 1 in 110, just under 1%. The full risk statement includes the 1 in 110, and also a relative comparison to the general risk of cancer, 1 in 4, to say the risk in 28 lower than the risk of cancer.
 
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Cynicor

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I read it as lower risk than the actual number, for various reasons. I think a lot of people think car crashes are controllable, their driving is safer, different to the standard risk profile (city/rural) etc.

Interesting numbers because I reckon I'll easily do 1 million km over a life, if not 2-3. Though I do around 700-1000 km a week just for work currently.
 

penegal

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Champagne sold in the US may not be French after all.

peabody told me this "overheard" in a restaurant a few weeks ago. American to his wife:

"I've never realised so much Champagne was made in Nevada?"


(The abbreviation for Nevada is NV.)
 

medhead

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I read it as lower risk than the actual number, for various reasons. I think a lot of people think car crashes are controllable, their driving is safer, different to the standard risk profile (city/rural) etc.

Interesting numbers because I reckon I'll easily do 1 million km over a life, if not 2-3. Though I do around 700-1000 km a week just for work currently.

The 2 main risk comparators I use are the risk of dying in a car accident or the risk of a car crash, both for NSW. The comparison is made in units of risk of 1 in 20000. Driving 60 km has a 1 in 20000 risk of a car crash and 5000 km for the risk of death.

Out of interest living 100 days in New York also has a 1 in 20000 risk of death. I'm not sure whether people in Australia can relate to that risk.

those numbers are probably a bit old, I should probably update them.

The car analogy is interesting. I compared to car accidents for some people who what to use additional PPE to avoid some small fraction of risk, about the same risk as driving a few 100 km. When I asked if they want to add that PPE to their car before they drive anywhere, the response was that the car has PPE already in the form of airbags etc. They didn't seem to understand that the risk of car accidents already took those safety measures into account.
 

anat0l

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Champagne sold in the US may not be French after all.

I think the US is one of the few, if not the only, place with a "get out" on the normal PDO. Though if you had a new "Champagne" producer in the USA, they could no longer use the same "get out".

Most of the Champagne sold as such in the USA is usually distinguished as, for example, "California Champagne".

Unless you are referring to something more sinister, i.e. Champagne from a respected French house that really is actually produced from non-Champagne grapes but touted as such.
 

get me outta here

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Now I have a serious problem and need urgent input. I make my own yoghurt and this morning I have been trying for 45 mins to get the top off the container. I've tried cold water, banging it gently against the window sill, and standing it upside down in boiling water. I don't remember super gluing the top down. I'm really hungry too. Any other suggestions.

EDIT, as you were blackcat won.
 
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OATEK

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Now I have a serious problem and need urgent input. I make my own yoghurt and this morning I have been trying for 45 mins to get the top off the container. I've tried cold water, banging it gently against the window sill, and standing it upside down in boiling water. I don't remember super gluing the top down. I'm really hungry too. Any other suggestions.

Drill a hole and use a straw?!! :D
 

blackcat20

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Now I have a serious problem and need urgent input. I make my own yoghurt and this morning I have been trying for 45 mins to get the top off the container. I've tried cold water, banging it gently against the window sill, and standing it upside down in boiling water. I don't remember super gluing the top down. I'm really hungry too. Any other suggestions.

Use a butter knife and slip under the edge of the lid and twist slightly, should break the seal.
 
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