Hi there I Love To Travel...... Don’t know about others but I am finding it really difficult to make an informed opinion on how bad this thing is. My 75 yo mother is asking me whether she should go on her planned 2 week holiday to Vietnam mid March and i honestly don't know what to tell her......
Suspect not. The time is rapidly passing when closing borders will be effective. Iran outbreak has been identified in more than half a dozen mainly middle east countries. Italy outbreak has spread to about 10 countries across three continents. This has all happened this week. So far containment measures have been effective in maybe 25 countries, but the dynamic of spread is rapidly changing, and the mostly China oriented travel restrictions are not keeping up.Well if the US shuts down and closes its borders then the rest of the world will too
So is the rest of world. Noone knows with any reliability what the death rate is. The WHO China mission report (link below) from a couple of days ago found that the fatality rate is between 2% and 4% in Wuhan, and 0.7% outside Wuhan. However we can say, based on experience over the past two months, that it is highly likely to spread to a lot of people, and that there will be more Koreas, Italys and Irans. We just don’t know where. Outside China the case numbers have been doubling every 5-6 days all this month, suggesting maybe 25,000 cases outside China mid March and many more end of March. We also don’t know how effective containment measures will be, but the recent WHO mission report concluded that the China outbreak peaked and plateaued 2-4 weeks ago, and is now in decline.Don’t know about others but I am finding it really difficult to make an informed opinion on how bad this thing is.
I’d tell her the facts, and the risks. I’m guessing this is already booked travel.My 75 yo mother is asking me whether she should go on her planned 2 week holiday to Vietnam mid March and i honestly don't know what to tell her.
Pineappleskip gives the best advice on this.My 75 yo mother is asking me whether she should go on her planned 2 week holiday to Vietnam mid March and i honestly don't know what to tell her.
I think a critical factor in deciding to travel to any country in the next month is - what are their medical facilities like ?Pineappleskip gives the best advice on this.
I am 73 and still intend going on my holiday with 2 weeks in Japan,bangkok and Singapore.
Celebrity the other day added Lombardy and Veneto to the list of banned transit areas. Yeah, like that’s going to work for them in a country like Italy where train travel reigns supreme. And where Venice is a major port for many med cruises. I’m waiting for Rome to be added to the list and there goes our July cruise.We have a Mediterranean cruise starting on 28/3 and have been advised that we will be refused boarding if travelled from or through China, including Hong Kong. We rebooked our flights through SIN some weeks ago, so are still OK at this stage. The cruise includes Israel, who has the same ban.
I'm with Dr. Ron on this. OK, granted I live in Singapore, but I feel totally comfortable going back there next week (been working remotely in Australia this week, for non virus related reasons). I think for some reason (climate or resources being thrown at it or both) , it is not "exploding" like it is elsewhere, just a trickle of new cases.Best of luck, Singapore and Japan on on many no-fly lists from corporates now.
WuhanWhat combination of causation allowed it to go berserk in Wuhan (while in au we were flying hundreds of passengers back and forth daily) and yet struggle to get a foothold here or elsewhere ?