NSW on track for 90+ % on the assumption 1st dose translates in into double dose. Hopefully we’ll crack 90% 1st dose by next weekend but you’d expect it to really taper off (not counting 12-15 yo).Vaccine hesitancy has dropped significantly according to the radio today, I think from a SMH article. So much so that 80% looks to be beaten.
Interesting article on proportion of mrna delivered.
New figures have revealed exactly which states and territories are receiving more than their fair share of Pfizer and other mRNA vaccines.www.news.com.au
Distribution of mRNA vaccines across Australia
ABS population share (per cent share)
New South Wales 8,173,000 (31.8%) 17,000 (27.4%) 172,000 (29.1%) 329,000 (28.9%) 753,000 (29.5%) 1,222,000 (29.3%) 2,307,000 (32.8%) 3,795,000 (33.5%) 6,344,000 (31.5%) 10,599,000 (31.7%) 17,396,000 (31.8%) Victoria 6,662,000 (25.9%) 17,000 (26.6%) 145,000 (24.6%) 276,000 (24.3%) 655,000 (25.6%) 1,183,000 (28.4%) 1,794,000 (25.5%) 2,899,000 (25.6%) 5,168,000 (25.7%) 8,586,000 (25.7%) 14,180,000 (25.9%) Queensland 5,195,000 (20.2%) 11,000 (18.2%) 117,000 (19.9%) 209,000 (18.4%) 457,000 (17.9%) 728,000 (17.5%) 1,280,000 (18.2%) 2,059,000 (18.2%) 3,989,000 (19.8%) 6,665,000 (20.0%) 11,058,000 (20.2%) Western Australia 2,670,000 (10.4%) 7,000 (10.5%) 50,000 (8.5%) 113,000 (9.9%) 253,000 (9.9%) 387,000 (9.3%) 658,000 (9.4%) 1,030,000 (9.1%) 2,015,000 (10.0%) 3,376,000 (10.1%) 5,682,000 (10.4%) South Australia 1,771,000 (6.9%) 6,000 (9.5%) 50,000 (8.5%) 90,000 (7.9%) 214,000 (8.4%) 309,000 (7.4%) 468,000 (6.7%) 758,000 (6.7%) 1,342,000 (6.7%) 2,210,000 (6.6%) 3,768,000 (6.9%) Tasmania 542,000 (2.1%) 2,000 (2.9%) 20,000 (3.4%) 45,000 (4.0%) 89,000 (3.5%) 130,000 (3.1%) 194,000 (2.8%) 317,000 (2.8%) 526,000 (2.6%) 819,000 (2.5%) 1,154,000 (2.1%) Australian Capital Territory 431,000 (1.7%) 2,000 (2.4%) 19,000 (3.2%) 39,000 (3.4%) 69,000 (2.7%) 111,000 (2.7%) 174,000 (2.5%) 267,000 (2.4%) 426,000 (2.1%) 657,000 (2.0%) 924,000 (1.7%) Northern Territory 247,000 (1.0%) 1,000 (2.3%) 17,000 (2.8%) 36,000 (3.1%) 66,000 (2.6%) 95,000 (2.3%) 148,000 (2.1%) 207,000 (1.8%) 330,000 (1.6%) 472,000 (1.4%) 525,000 (1.0%)
But it is relevant to this part of your post I was answering.Whether it will work is irrelevant to my point that is was unecessary for a person to have a booster within a month of dose two (3 doses within 17 weeks) . Im all for boosters when there has been a reduction in immunity, but at 4 weeks post dose 2 you should be at maximum protection, not seeking another
As you can see though if you read this article there is no need for an AZ booster as it's fade is far less than that with Pfizer.Research by the University of Oxford team that developed the vaccine has shown a booster at least six months after the second jab brings immunity levels back to their peak - and significantly increases antibody and T-cell levels to the virus, including variants.
If you had bothered to read the initial post I made about an AZ 3rd dose you would have realised this was not given at 1 month but at least 6 months after the second dose.Here is a press article on that finding without big medical words.
Is there a one paragraph summary of this somewhere?I am not sure if you saw the note at the bottom:
NOTES: 1/ 530,000 Pfizer vaccine doses allocated to NSW are not included in the above.Now 530,000 is a familiar number. Does it relate to the Polish Purchase?
530,010 doses will be prioritised for express delivery to the 12 Greater Sydney Local Government Areas where the COVID-19 outbreak continues to grow, following advice from the Chief Medical Officer Professor Paul Kelly.This will give everyone aged 20 to 39 years in the 12 LGAs the opportunity to be vaccinated.The remaining 470,340 Pfizer doses will be distributed on a per capita basis to other states and territories, to fast-track the vaccination of 20 to 39 year olds and other high risk groups.
So presumably that means that the other jurisdictions all have included within their figures their allocation from the Polish Purchase:
The per capita allocation to the remaining states and territories is: Victoria 175,500, Queensland 136,890, South Australia 47,970, Western Australia 70,200, Tasmania 17,550, Northern Territory 8,190, and the ACT 14,040.but not one dose of Polish Pfizer is included within the NSW figures.
So why are the 530,000 excluded, but the other doses added to the other jurisdictions? Even if you wanted to for some reason not include all of them surely you should as a minimum include the number of doses used in NSW on a pro-rata basis to the other jurisdictions.
The Polish Pfizer doses do all seem to be included in the later tables though.
The one million Euro Moderna doses are all also included in the table. ie 11 million in total.
Pfizer in 2021
In the later tables it looks like the number of Pfizer doses for 2021 will be 38 (from June on) million + 2.56 million (used to may inclusive) = 40.56 rather than 46 million.
So 2 million less that 40 million ordered from Pfizer, and 8 million less that the total orders of Pfizer (40=4.5UK+ .5 Singapore + 1 Polish). (I assume that Note 1 from the first table dose not apply to the later tables) 40 million agreement ( Caveat some or all the extra doses may arrive by say Dec31, but not yet be delivered to each state based on the supply table). Having said that the note at the bottom which includes Pfizer, Moderna and AZ states: We expect by the end of October to have received sufficient supply to fully vaccinate the population. It does note define if that if 16+ or 12+ population. I assume that is meant to be 16+ population. If it does, then as 12-15 year olds are now being vaccinated at a rapid then that target may move somewhat. PLus as sufficient supply would include AZ and not all are willing to take AZ that will also most likely delay things.
Note that the 10 million for DFAT in the table: . A total of 10 million AstraZeneca doses will be distributed to Australia’s international partners by the end of 2021
The Pfizer Supply from the manufacturer is shown as 32 million for June to December inclusive. With 2.56 million prior to that, that is a total of about 34.6 million. A shortfall of 5.4 million of the 40 million Pfizer agreements.
However we are so far also receiving 1 million extra Moderna. Total mRNA till end of Dec being now 48,999,298. While in total this is enough doses for 25 million Australians which is good, but the supply of mRNA will be slower than we were hoping for last month when we all thought the "international partner" deals would really accelerate vaccinations. They should speed things up, but not as quickly as we were hoping as the 40 million Pfizer Manufacturer doses will not have all been distributed with 2021.
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PRIME MINISTER: Good afternoon. I’m joined by the Minister for Health, the Chief Medical Officer and the Secretary of the Department of Health. Let me start by saying Australia has now had over one million doses administered here and across the country. I’ll come to the issue of the vaccines and National Cabinet in a moment. But let me also advise, and particularly why I’m joined by the Minister for Health today and Aged Care, the Australian Government has secured overnight an additional 20 million doses of the Pfizer-BioNtech COVID-19 vaccine, in line with the advice of the Scientific Industry Technical Advisory Group on Vaccines, led by Professor Brendan Murphy. Now, through our advanced purchase agreement with Pfizer, these additional 20 million Pfizer doses means that Australia will now receive a total of 40 million Pfizer doses in 2021.
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Is there a one paragraph summary of this somewhere?
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It was a disappointing day for vaccinations in VIC yesterday due to the public holiday.
QLD seemed to be only AZ hesitant and that report is before the age limits were scrapped on 18 Sept. The Super Pfizer weekends and walk ins at hubs are very popular.