Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

Status
Not open for further replies.
Talking to UK based son last night who has been vaxxed etc. With a 12 year old attending school he uses the PCR FREE test kit once every couple of weeks. This is a habit we must encourage here in Aus. His SIL picked up her infection this way and immediately isolated at home and her partner never acquired it.
 
Victorians not testing to same levels as NSW

1.4% of the NSW population testing (121000/8.2M x100)
0.9% of the VIC population testing (65497/6.7M x100)

To be on par with NSW, VIC testing should be around 90-100K/day.
 
I'm sure it will go to multiple thousands, but as the testing places won't have the ability to test everyone unless they're prepared to wait all day, the numbers will top out.

My take is the Dan has totally lost control of some areas now, as this whole thing has gone of for far too long. The non compliant areas will simply spread. I see non compliance all around me now, and amongst all levels of society.
 
jb747 said:
I'm sure it will go to multiple thousands, but as the testing places won't have the ability to test everyone unless they're prepared to wait all day, the numbers will top out.

My take is the Dan has totally lost control of some areas now, as this whole thing has gone of for far too long. The non compliant areas will simply spread. I see non compliance all around me now, and amongst all levels of society.
Click to expand...
I really don't know how Dan or his CHO can honestly believe that we are going to be so compliant given we've been in lockdown for so long.
 
jb747 said:
I'm sure it will go to multiple thousands, but as the testing places won't have the ability to test everyone unless they're prepared to wait all day, the numbers will top out.

My take is the Dan has totally lost control of some areas now, as this whole thing has gone of for far too long. The non compliant areas will simply spread. I see non compliance all around me now, and amongst all levels of society.
Click to expand...
As has been reported in the vaccine thread first doses are improving in the LGAs of concern (see the top of this list: First and Second Doses Administered by LGA in Victoria - COVID Live). You can see the daily change in cases per LGA here: Cases by LGA in Victoria - COVID Live

On Monday (LGA vaccination numbers are released weekly each Monday) or the Monday after most of them should be up around 80% first dose. However it'll obviously be some weeks after that before they reach those levels for second dose and then a few weeks after the second dose before optimal protection kicks in.

Hopefully once we see over 50% fully vaccinated in the LGAs of concern the case numbers will begin to drop in those areas. Even if not, if most are fully vaccinated the risk of an overwhelming surge of people ending up in ICU will be much lower than it is with current vaccination levels.
 
"More than 500 cases linked to grand final weekend gatherings, COVID commander says"

No surprises there really
 
Dan and Jerome clearly blaming home gatherings, particularly for AFL over the weekend...

Far more infections today in young men, and also lots of new households infected, which probably means lots of secondary infections over coming days.
 
jrfsp said:
"More than 500 cases linked to grand final weekend gatherings, COVID commander says"

No surprises there really
Click to expand...
Many, many people in VIC are over it. Many of us don't want to go to protests, but some would certainly like to bend other rules. The lockdown rules are out of proportion to what has been faced here. There's no way VIC should have the record for the longest time in lockdown due to COVID-19. We haven't had the record case and death numbers to justify that that have been seen elsewhere in the world.

As more and more become fully vaccinated I think more and more will choose to ignore restrictions that they don't agree with. For mental health many are deciding to learn to live with the virus ahead of the state rules.

I would happily occasionally dine inside at a cafe or restaurant right now in VIC if the rules allowed it. I've had both vaccine doses, so if I catch the virus I should be O.K.
 
Pushka said:
PCR FREE test kit
Click to expand...
You mean PCR free (as in not a PCR test), or a free at home PCR test kit?

The correct name is a lateral flow Covid test kit - if this is what you are referringt to...
Lateral flow just means the sample flows along a absorbent pad and the results comes up in a second window.
Other examples of lateral flow tests are urine pregnancy tests.
Not a PCR test (the current one) but rather the test lights up with detection of an antibody = so called rapid antibody test.

Surprisingly the NHS (UK) says it has a "99.9% accuracy". Not sure what that exactly means either.

Is it 99.9% sensitive to Covid antibody? which means it will be positive in the presence of antibody 99.9% of the time (false negative avoided)
Or 99.9% specific to Covid antibody? which means it will not be positive to anything other than covid antibody 99.9% of the time (false positive avoided)
 
Last edited:
Struggling to Redeem Your Frequent Flyer Points?
The Frequent Flyer Concierge team takes the hard work out of finding reward seat availability. Using their expert knowledge and specialised tools, they'll help you book a great trip that maximises the value for your points.

AFF Supporters can remove this and all advertisements

jakeseven7 said:
Are you allowed to bet on the numbers anywhere I wonder
Click to expand...
I have not seen it, but I am not a gambler other than Lotto.
Maybe the internet black sites?
Though 1:2 odds are not very attractive.
The odds are more like even odds (1:1) because for a number to be the same the next day would seem to be very unlikely compared to an increase or decrease if you look at the previous few months.
 
Sponsored Post

Struggling to use your Frequent Flyer Points?

Frequent Flyer Concierge takes the hard work out of finding award availability and redeeming your frequent flyer or credit card points for flights.

Using their expert knowledge and specialised tools, the Frequent Flyer Concierge team at Frequent Flyer Concierge will help you book a great trip that maximises the value for your points.

Pretty poor taste to be making jokes about case numbers here too.
 
Quickstatus said:
You mean PCR free (as in not a PCR test), or a free at home PCR test kit?

The correct name is a lateral flow Covid test kit - if this is what you are referringt to...
Lateral flow just means the sample flows along a absorbent pad and the results comes up in a second window.
Other examples of lateral flow tests are urine pregnancy tests.
Not a PCR test (the current one) but rather the test lights up with detection of an antibody = so called rapid antibody test.

Surprisingly the NHS (UK) says it has a "99.9% accuracy". Not sure what that exactly means either.

Is it 99.9% sensitive to Covid antibody? which means it will be positive in the presence of antibody 99.9% of the time (false negative avoided)
Or 99.9% specific to Covid antibody? which means it will not be positive to anything other than covid antibody 99.9% of the time (false positive avoided)
Click to expand...
I dunno. Whatever test UK is giving out free and done at home and results in 20 minutes. He isn't into details. Son didn't even know which Vax he'd had and had to ask his wife.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Enhance your AFF viewing experience!!

From just $6 we'll remove all advertisements so that you can enjoy a cleaner and uninterupted viewing experience.

And you'll be supporting us so that we can continue to provide this valuable resource :)


Sample AFF with no advertisements? More..

Recent Posts

Currently Active Users

Total: 969 (members: 42, guests: 927)
Back
Top