Updated
predictions by CovidbaseAU on how many days to reach the 70/80/90 % vaccination target for both first and second doses by jurisdiction are shown bellow.
(Note this uses a more complex method than just using 7 day averages for second dose, or the the method of adding 6 weeks to first dose rates that you can see in other predictions.)
Estimated date to reach the 80% fully vaccinated target at current rates:
Nationally 49 days - Nov 5
ACT: 34 - Oct 21
NSW: 34 - Oct 21
VIC: 48 - Nov 4
TAS: 53 - Nov 9
WA: 75 - Dec 1
SA: 65 - Nov 21
NT: 65 - Nov 21
QLD: 74 - Nov 30
View attachment 258653
I still expect the above will swing around somewhat.
ie Given the increased supply mRNA daily vaccination should be averaging soon in Vic (I have not looked at each jurisdiction) Say almost 90K per day as an average, but presently it is still averaging significantly under that rate. Plus there will be some AZ occurring as well. In short the 7 day average first dose rate in Vic should increase, and especially next week when Moderna starts to get deployed.