TBH I haven't been following the latest outbreaks in Victoria or NSW closely - they are not that relevant to me and fortunately I've got lots of other, useful distractions. Certainly this thread has ceased to be very informative, with all the tit-for-tat type postings.
So a question, inviting speculation.
. These 'fleeting' transmissions, in NSW and Victoria. What are the chances - could it be, on what is known - that the transmission occurred OTHER than at that particular fleeting instance? Unless the authorities have GPS tracking on
all the relevant people's
total movements (and, perhaps all the
unknown relevant people) OR those involved (and perhaps not yet involved) can recount with 100% accuracy their movements relative to each other for their respective infectious periods, can some more direct transmission routes be ruled out?
Genuine question, for those who have followed the 'evidence' closely. I'm thinking: OK, the authorities can spot 2 people brushing past each other. In the absence of other info they say "Ah ha! - There's the transmission point!" But how likely is it that there are other transmission events, perhaps involving unknown carriers, not appreciated? There is no way I could recall my movements within, say 10 minutes and within, say, 10 metres for the past 3-5 days. And I could be an asymptomatic carrier at any time.
I wonder if there is a happiness with the authorities to seize upon the 'fleeting contact' hypothesis, to keep the fear factor up and the community generally compliant?