We are already looking to book back to JP, US, UK and EU. Travel at the moment is just a hiccup in the radar. When SARS broke every one thought the world end and the modern smart phone did not exist. 17-18 years later everyone has a phone, an opinion and is an expert. Just my opinion.
You are certainly lot more optimistic that I am. I dearly hope that your optimism is well placed and my pessimism is misplaced.
By the time the global SARS outbreak was contained, the virus spread to over 8,000 people worldwide and killed almost 800.
CV 19 has already killed over 25,000. Recorded cases is already over 550,000 with the actual number of infected being most likely many multiples of that number.And these numbers are all most likely to massively grow yet.
All this with it clear that many countries like Indonesia are most likely suffering well beyond their official numbers. In addition SARS affected only 26 counties. CV 19 is worldwide.
SARS will provide little guide to the massive disruption that CV 199 will eventually cause.
International travel will be a major casualty. The longer CV19 drags on before a vaccine is widely deployed the more difficult it will be for international travel to resume. Without a vaccine travel for those who have not already been infected by CV 19 will simply be too risky. Currently the advice seems to be that a vaccine will still take 12 or more months away. Even if very effective treatments and cures are rapidly developed and deployed successful a vaccine will still need to deployed to allow widespread travel.
The other hope that further cheap tests will be developed to enough enough widespread testing so that all active cases can be quarantined so that the virus dies out. But that needs to be achieved worldwide to allow leisure travel.
The longer it drags on the more like that multiple airline and all manner of travel businesses will simply be wiped out. This another major barrier for travel to get up and running.
WHERE WILL I FIRST GO
Bush camping and fire affected areas.
And then the other problem is that poorer countries are likely to not have the resources to combat CV19, and so will still be potential sources of re-infection.
So at present it would seem to me that international leisure travel will be very difficult to be occurring at all in 2020 and even in 2021 the infrastructure may still be shattered even if a vaccine is out.
Hopefully Australia will be in a position to allow me to resume travel in Australia this summer.