- Jul 13, 2006
As harsh as it sounds, once everyone who can have a vaccine has a chance to, the numbers in the hospital and deaths should not count in terms of “the plan” and if there is an undue burden to the healthcare system, those with Covid should go to the bottom. There should be a max number of Covid beds in a limited number of hospitals chosen based on geography and population, and once they are full, no hospital access to save beds and bandwidth for other medical needs (and breakthrough Covid cases and those who are medically unable to get the vaccine). At some point, the harsh reality of the consequences of one's choice when it comes to getting the vaccine must come into play.
My point was more that the actual required vaccination level required for us to live the "new covid 19 normal life " will be determined by what is happening in our hospitals, and not the modelling.
It may be 60% of adults vaccinated works fine, or it may be 80% or 90%. The modelling is a guide, what happens in the hospitals will be the measure. If the vaccine does its job then the number of cases will no longer be that relevant. It will be then number of adverse outcomes (severe illness and death).
One advantage (now and not in the past when it was a disadvantage) that the UK has over Australia is that they are thought to have had about 20% of people who have had Covid 19. That in theory would mean that they need less adults vaccinated than we do in Australia (Though yes some overlap as some who have had Covid 19 and will still get vaccinated).