So the 2 other insights in the OAP conversation
The census data from August 2021
The people turning 67 today were 63 in 2021
In that data, the 60-64 group no more than 290,000 (less deaths around 9,000 per year 60- 70,000 per quarter would be turning 67 this year yet the OAP for that age group has reduced slightly each 3 months.
About 1,400,000 in the cohort
So 720,000 in the age 67-69 of which 349,000 are on OAP
48% and reducing
The other group is the over 85s
They get afflicted with the surviving spouse outcome, they are living longer (and a few cut off because they didn’t sell the house when they went into aged care and after 2 years, it is cut off)
There’s no more than 980,000 in that cohort less a substantial amount of deaths)
For 2023
Deaths, Australia, 2023
71,000 deaths for those ages 85 & over
So 280,000 deaths over 4 years
700,000 aged over 85 alive
Around 470,000 are on OAP
67%
