Can I ask you guys for your views.
I have 98k in Velocity, 108k in Qff and an Amex csr says my 5k/5t points of 115,000 should be thru in 6 weeks, ie by mid December and just in time to book ff flights in mid January 2010.
I want my family of three to go to Lake Tahoe, 4 or so hours drive from San Francisco, in January 2010, returning in late January in time for high school. I assume getting ff seats is hard in peak times.
Is Velocity the more certain option with Hawaiianair from Sydney-Honalulu-SFO return for 94k of points per person. That avoids going to LA and driving some 10 hours, sometimes in snow dumps in hired 4x4s without tire chains. But it means paying Virgin Blue for Melb-Syd. At least that's in $AUD or points, whereas LAX to Reno involves up to 5 hours of delays at the airport, 1.5hrs in the air on say Alaskan, and then 1-2 hrs drive from Reno.
But Velocity seems to require payment in only points: If I'm 1 point short, the other 93,999 points are useless for that trip. Qantas' FAQ suggest one can pay money to top up a shortfall.
Qantas on the other hand flies Melb-SFO direct. (But for how many points???? I have trouble with their website). But what are the odds of getting three ff seats in school holidays to an airport that is a jumping off point to ski resorts in Canada, California and Utah. Also, I've been burnt with Jestar/Qantas dumping flights to Nagano Japan next year, was on a plane with 'incidents', and feel Qantas isn't the same company it was.
Unfortunately Amex won't be awarding the bonuses in time to get 25% extra Velocity bonuses: an extra 25,000 points would be very tempting.
I'm only interested in flights to California so Qantas or Velocity seem to be the most likely recipients of my amex ff points.
Thanks in advance