Apologies OP but I'm going to piggyback on this thread with a similar question.
I want to book a one way from Tokyo (HND) to SYD in late Feb 2027 on QF26.
Ideally will book using CR (36,200 in Y) but they're not available.
I am prepared to wait for them to become available but in the meantime I like to rest assured that I have flights booked - even if I need to cancel when the CR seats finally show up, hopefully.
I can book seats right now using Red Kangaroo rules (not full flex) but cancellation is ¥30,000, so just under $300.
I do this trip regularly and for my 2026 trip last Feb, I got an alert (thanks seats.aero) in Nov 2025 that CR seats are available.
So...do I book the revenue fares and wait until possibly Nov 2026 for maybe CR seats to open? Then I'd be copping the ¥30,000 cancellation fee per pax so a fair whack to the pocket.
Or book full flex ¥280,640 and have the ability to cancel for free? That'd assume that 36,200 pts CR seats become available. What if they don't?
Or just wait without a return flight to SYD until, or if, an alert comes through that CR seats are available?
Or is there a way to wrangle QF into waiving the cancellation fee?
And yes - QF26 is our only option for a few reasons.