The situation in Japan - some thoughts on Radiation

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Medhead, Fantastic post. Good one!


Interesting that 5 return trips from Tokyo-New York gets you your maximum of 1 mSv of radiation for the year!

Good pick up awilcockson. I have never really considered radiation while flying (but have heard it once or twice and merely brushed it off). Maybe some "very frequent flyers" could be getting above average dosage of radiation without even knowing it?

I wonder how altitude effects the dosage? What about a U2 Spy Plane pilot or the SR71 Blackbird pilots? They are up at 80,000 feet for hours at a time...
 
Yep Barry has some good stuff there. I've heard him speak a few times, once on the same program as Helen Caldicott. that was interesting. ;) :D

She said something about how I prostitute myself to industry or some such. Rather a badge of honour.
We had Helen Caldicott as the guest speaker at a college formal dinner when I was at Uni (UNSW), sometime around 1990 (probably 1989 actually).

She said the same thing about all forms of science and engineering (I'm a Mining Engineer), going on to suggest (well, more than suggest) that we were all destined to support the weapons industy, or something similar. I had the job of thanking her for her speech ;)

... so she's been rolling that line out for quite a while now. She is an interesting speaker though, and obviously very passionate.



Found this calculator http://jag.cami.jccbi.gov/

12 hour flight at 40K feet (just some nice round numbers) from BNE to LHR is .06 mSv
If only it was only 12 hrs ....
 
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Hmm - interesting table. Seems I have had 17 years worth of radiation in the past 3.5 years and that doesn't include the radiotherapy :shock:. If that is worthwhile in a treatment context (benefit vs risk of creating future cancers) then clearly there is no need to panic at present with the radiation levels in Japan.

Kim
 
Thanks everyone, glad to be of use (finally)

I've dug out my conference notes from last year and found the japanese flight dose calculator website. It was developed by the Japanese Institute for Radiological Sciences (NIRS) and is call JISCARD - Japanese Internet System for Calculation of Aviation Route Doses

The Home page is here (JISCARD)

I can follow through to the JISCARD Options, which seems to include a few versions include a mobile version

The downloadable english personal version is here. I got stumped by the japanese, and I might have downloaded the Personal version but got distracted.

JISCARD EX Personal Edition

I found this one quite useful.

Interesting that 5 return trips from Tokyo-New York gets you your maximum of 1 mSv of radiation for the year!

I also saw a paper from the conference about measuring the radiation on this route. One thing to note is the route is a polar route. Cosmic radiation is higher closer to the poles due to the arrangement of the earth's magnetic fields. This would be a maximum more than an average type of dose.

Good pick up awilcockson. I have never really considered radiation while flying (but have heard it once or twice and merely brushed it off). Maybe some "very frequent flyers" could be getting above average dosage of radiation without even knowing it?

There has been a bit of debate about this. Yes frequent flyers could get high doses. However, this is considered to be a natural exposure. Not so for flight crew for whom this is considered to be occupational exposure and hence have dose limits. Much of the debate of how to classify flight crew focused the discrepancy between protecting flight crew and not protecting frequent flyers. Plus also the need to protect unborn children of flight crew.

I wonder how altitude effects the dosage? What about a U2 Spy Plane pilot or the SR71 Blackbird pilots? They are up at 80,000 feet for hours at a time...

Yep, higher up means more exposure. I'm not sure how much. But this is the same for astronauts. One of the issues about going to Mars.

We had Helen Caldicott as the guest speaker at a college formal dinner when I was at Uni (UNSW), sometime around 1990 (probably 1989 actually).

She is an interesting speaker though, and obviously very passionate.

That was definitely my conclusion, very passionate. Something to respect no matter how misguided I think she is. I would recommend seeing her speak at least once, it can be entertaining. She even threw her glasses off to emphasis a point during our talk.

Hmm - interesting table. Seems I have had 17 years worth of radiation in the past 3.5 years and that doesn't include the radiotherapy :shock:. If that is worthwhile in a treatment context (benefit vs risk of creating future cancers) then clearly there is no need to panic at present with the radiation levels in Japan.

Kim

Hi Kim
I'm sorry to hear that you had to have therapy. I hope things are ok now.

You make a fine point about radiotherapy. But to some extend it is a different thing. With radiotherapy, we're getting into a different region of justification (one of the principles of radiation protection). In an occupational setting having a job is a benefit at a level that only justifies a low level of risk. For the emergency workers at the reactor in Japan the benefit of dealing with the situation are great enough that they can justify a higher level of radiation exposure. In radiotherapy, there is a major level of benefit, someone isn't going to die in X months, so yes really big radiation exposure can be justified.

I could go on with some examples of justification, but that could be boring.
 
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My thoughts go to those who are working close to the reactors, trying to manage the crisis. They are there because they have volunteered to be. They don't have to take the risk they have a choice and they have chosen to help out.

I did have a choice - and it appears it was the right one.

Kim
 
I could go on with some examples of justification, but that could be boring.

I try to put it simply in my work: It is better to worry about the cancer you have now, than the cancer you may get in 20 years.
It's a gross oversimplification but the sentiment is right.
My main worry is about pointless exposure (too many tests, too many flights?*) - contravenes the ALARA principle we're all taught (by professionals like you!) before we get our radiation licences.

Cheers, 'tork.

* as we're on the AFF, is this heresy?
 
My main worry is about pointless exposure (too many tests, too many flights?*) - contravenes the ALARA principle we're all taught (by professionals like you!) before we get our radiation licences.

Cheers, 'tork.

* as we're on the AFF, is this heresy?

funny you mention ALARA, I'm not sure many understand it. I've seen examples where staff (not only drs) insist on doing things to avoid a trivial exposure but put the patient in greater risk. Patient has had nuclear medicine means they have to come back tomorrow. Elderly people driving or travel many extra km. Similar situation but risking infection of a patient, again to avoid trivial exposure. ALARA doesn't mean zero dose, now that is a big battle to have :D ;)
 
Little has been said what happens if the storage pool drains, and spent rods are exposed or a fire developed. OK no explosion, but nasty stuff leeching out.

As for the 7% idle, might be a good time to debate if these high efficiency pile/pack reactors are wanted, and if lower efficiency ones are better.
 
Little has been said what happens if the storage pool drains, and spent rods are exposed or a fire developed. OK no explosion, but nasty stuff leeching out.
it's seems pretty clear that the fuel rods in the storage ponds have already been exposed. At least at reactor 4 and that's why they worked so hard to get water into that storage pond. Even then that does mean nasty stuff is going to leach out. Just being exposed doesn't mean that stuff is going to be leaching out. It still needs to get out of the storage containment.

As for the 7% idle, might be a good time to debate if these high efficiency pile/pack reactors are wanted, and if lower efficiency ones are better.

What do you mean by this?
 
Here are two web addresses where the Japanese Government are publishing the results from the radiation tests they have been doing...
All around Japan eq.wide.ad.jp/index_en.html

In tokyo ftp.jaist.ac.jp/pub/emergency/monitoring.tokyo-eiken.go.jp/monitoring/index-e.html

I am travelling to Tokyo in 4 weeks, how would I go with the Insurance people if I wanted to cancel my trip? If the Japanese Government says it's safe, then would the Insurance company decline any claim?

Cheers,
****on
 
If you travelling from Australia I think you could rely on DFAT advice, which is something like reconsider you need to travel or something like that. After this is a disaster zone there is probably little clean water, no sewage, no electricity, risk of infection and disease. Generally a lack of essential services. No need to even mention radiation.

I have heard airlines are being flexible in allowing changes. Probably hotels as well. I would contact tour travel providers to find out the cost, if any. Then contact your insurance company, see what they say and decide from there.
 
Saw an interesting image linked to on FT (Japan forum).

Yeah, l saw that a few days ago too. Interesting.

There is also "Thorium" which is a better alternative

Some info here.

Thorium Remix 2009 - LFTR in 16 minutes

[video=youtube;WWUeBSoEnRk]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWUeBSoEnRk[/video]



And an article from the UK "The Telegraph"


Safe nuclear does exist, and China is leading the way with thorium


A few weeks before the tsunami struck Fukushima's uranium reactors and shattered public faith in unclear power, China revealed that it was launching a rival technology to build a safer, cleaner, and ultimately cheaper network of reactors based on thorium

This passed unnoticed –except by a small of band of thorium enthusiasts – but it may mark the passage of strategic leadership in energy policy from an inert and status-quo West to a rising technological power willing to break the mould.

If China’s dash for thorium power succeeds, it will vastly alter the global energy landscape and may avert a calamitous conflict over resources as Asia’s industrial revolutions clash head-on with the West’s entrenched consumption.

China’s Academy of Sciences said it had chosen a “thorium-based molten salt reactor system”. The liquid fuel idea was pioneered by US physicists at Oak Ridge National Lab in the 1960s, but the US has long since dropped the ball. Further evidence of Barack `Obama’s “Sputnik moment”, you could say.

...More on the link below...
"The Telegraph" - UK, Thorium Article
 
Just read an interesting article on Bloomberg Businessweek in relation to Nuclear Technology and the like.


The Prospect for Safe Nuclear Power


Fukushima has cast a pall over the industry, just as new designs are showing promise of making reactors far safer. Will fear bring progress to a halt—or stimulate demand for smarter solutions?


Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, Fukushima. First the accident, then the predictable allegations in the postmortem: The design was flawed. Inspections were inadequate. Lines of defense crumbled, and reliable backups proved unreliable. Planners lacked the imagination or willpower to prepare for the very worst.

There's a way to break out of this pattern. Nuclear power plants will never be completely safe, but they can be made far safer than they are today. The key is humility.

The next generation of plants must be built to work with nature—and human nature—rather than against them. They must be safe by design, so that even if every possible thing goes wrong, the outcome will stop short of disaster. In the language of the nuclear industry, they must be "walkaway safe," meaning that even if all power is lost and the coolant leaks and the operators flee the scene, there will be no meltdown of the core, no fire in the spent fuel rods, and no bursts of radioactive steam into the atmosphere.
More on the link below;
The Prospect for Safe Nuclear Power - BusinessWeek
 
FWIW, I'm buying tickets next week for my Easter vacation period. Going to Tokyo.

Yeah.

I haven't read/watched very much English language coverage since ABC News24 cut away from the live helicopter feed of my old town being destroyed to go to a skype video chat with some idiot ABC researcher in a safe, warm, powered apartment in Tokyo who couldn't stop using the word "shuuto" every two seconds like it was her vocabulary point of the week.

I'm going to load up on potassium iodide the week before and take some extra with me. Medical geniuses, is that OTC or do I need a script?
 
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