Can't see them going into TXL as it is set to close once BER becomes fully operational. The rumour about Berlin has been circling for a while and speculation was fuelled when AJ mentioned it as a possible future destination at the QF/EK launch two weeks ago. EK can't go there as they have exhausted their current German allocations. I would expect that if QF were to put on a BER flight it would originate in PER or BNE to add extra QF capacity to DXB and then continue on with an uplift of EK pax in DXB. If QF couldn't make money in their own right flying to FRA, they'll never be able to do it to BER without EK traffic.
Agree totally, if it is to happen, it will be to BER. As for originating port my money is with PER-DBX (5606 miles/9000km) with an A330. My simple reasoning here, is the 747's are up for retirement & an A330 is not really capable of doing BNE-DXB (7444 miles/11980km) .
A rough PER-DXB-BER-DXB-PER QF schedule I believe could be:
Ex PER 1630 / Arr DXB 2330 (11 hours)
Ex DXB 0205+1 / Arr BER 0635+1 (6.30 hours)
Ex BER 2330 ARR DXB 0745+1 (6.15 hours)
Ex DXB 1000+1 ARR PER 0030+2 (10.30 hours)
All of the above allows for at least a MCT in DXB of 90 mins for PER connections to LHR and SYD/MEL to BER and the same on the return
A long a/c layover in BER of around 15 hours , but QF had a similar layover in FRA also.
As a result of the QF introduction on PER-DBX-PER , I would see EK reducing there own metal services from 3 flights to 2 per day, and free up a 777 to be used elsewhere on their network. Codeshares would be across all services.
A daily PER-DXB-PER combined QF/EK schedule could look something like:
Ex PER
600 1300 (EK)
1630 2330 (QF)
2230 0530+1 (EK)
Ex DXB
0255 1725 (EK)
1000 0030+1 (QF)
2145 1215+1 (EK)
The only problem I see with the above are the EK a/c layovers in PER of between 10-13 hours which may or may not be favourable , if not , I would see further enhancements to the EK schedule would likely be needed. (and thats another story)
This was basically just to show how QF could intergrate a service to BER using there own metal.