Predictions of when international flights may resume/bans lifted

mviy

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Hopefully in a few weeks or so the evidence will indicate that the new variant isn't something to be overly concerned about, but at this point we don't know and it's understandable that many nations are taking a cautious approach to this.

Worst case is we're back to square one and the vaccine manufacturers need to quickly develop a new version of the vaccine to target the new variant, and major restrictions on international travel come back.
 

Princess Fiona

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Hopefully in a few weeks or so the evidence will indicate that the new variant isn't something to be overly concerned about, but at this point we don't know and it's understandable that many nations are taking a cautious approach to this.

Worst case is we're back to square one and the vaccine manufacturers need to quickly develop a new version of the vaccine to target the new variant, and major restrictions on international travel come back.
I think the initial response will be mandatory hotel quarantine for returning travellers from Southern Africa and a “Do not travel” for outbound.
 
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N860CR

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Lunatic stuff. Remember when two years ago there's was basically nothing stopping you travelling to and from a country with identified ebola.

This will all be forgotten in a week. Sideshow

Can only hope. Sets a bad precedent for future “variants”. One sneeze and the world goes crazy. Will do nothing for travel confidence.

I do wonder how different the response would have been had this been identified in Boston rather than Botswana
 

Must...Fly!

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Can only hope. Sets a bad precedent for future “variants”. One sneeze and the world goes crazy. Will do nothing for travel confidence.

I do wonder how different the response would have been had this been identified in Boston rather than Botswana
Travel confidence? Try economic. Look at the markets. Probably the only thing that will convince governments to be sensible
 

N860CR

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Wasn’t aware that there was any flights from Southern Africa arriving here currently


There aren’t. Other than the occasional qantas repat.

Good to see ABC has dragged Mary-Louise McLockdown out again who’s basically said it’s found across the world and restricting travel from Southern Africa isn’t enough 🙄

Seriously, when does this end!
 

MEL_Traveller

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I don't have a problem with measures to restrict the entry of a new variant that sounds particularly bad.

I just wonder why measures are not stronger, and took so long?

So what if in two weeks they discover it's not so bad, and the current vaccines work. Not much lost. But if it is of concern, a potential gain by taking action early.
 

N860CR

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I don't have a problem with measures to restrict the entry of a new variant that sounds particularly bad.

I just wonder why measures are not stronger, and took so long?

So what if in two weeks they discover it's not so bad, and the current vaccines work. Not much lost. But if it is of concern, a potential gain by taking action early.

So this is the plan forever now? Mass panic when there’s a new “variant”. Certainly doesn’t sound “particularly bad”. Thus far, no “variant” has been anymore severe (and it couldn’t get much less severe if it tried).
 

MEL_Traveller

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So this is the plan forever now? Mass panic when there’s a new “variant”. Certainly doesn’t sound “particularly bad”. Thus far, no “variant” has been anymore severe (and it couldn’t get much less severe if it tried).

From what I've read this variant seems to have mutated far more than others. And we can't let outcome bias cloud decisions. 'Just because' previous variants haven't proved overly dangerous doesn't mean this one won't be.
 

N860CR

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From what I've read this variant seems to have mutated far more than others. And we can't let outcome bias cloud decisions. 'Just because' previous variants haven't proved overly dangerous doesn't mean this one won't be.

Based on how mild the virus is overall, it’s highly unlikely that there will be any significant increase in severity.

We did.not have these measures for Ebola or African Swine Flu. Your position is that this “variant” is worse than those?

Roughly 6% of the African continent is vaccinated. South Africa had all but eradicated the delta variant. There are not corpses piling up in the street.
 

jase05

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Based on how mild the virus is overall, it’s highly unlikely that there will be any significant increase in severity.

We did.not have these measures for Ebola or African Swine Flu. Your position is that this “variant” is worse than those?

Roughly 6% of the African continent is vaccinated. South Africa had all but eradicated the delta variant. There are not corpses piling up in the street.
Albanese is calling for immediate border closures to the 9 African countries which is even harsher than what Morrison has currently in place.
I think we will see many nations jump and react quickly to new strains for some time be that rightly or wrongly
 

N860CR

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Albanese is calling for immediate border closures to the 9 African countries which is even harsher than what Morrison has currently in place.
I think we will see many nations jump and react quickly to new strains for some time be that rightly or wrongly

Not surprising to be honest. Plays to his audience. I believe he was adamantly opposed to the Indian closure? Politics is predictable

No doubt we’ll see this panic (wrongly) for quite a while. The question is how long can we sustain it.
 

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