Looming Jet Fuel Shortages?

[Saab34]

Rising oil and an excise about to fall off, sounds politically unpopular, so let’s see if the excise cut its rolled on.

 

[Quickstatus]

excise cut its rolled on.

Or cut is reduced to 25% instead of 50%

 

[Pushka]

Slightly off topic, interesting that at our local servo the price of diesel is back down to $1.99.

Before war hovered around $1.65. Peak was $2.65

As the parties have started shooting at each other one would expect prices will start rising again.

Petrol in Adelaide is cheaper than before the war. $1.61 for base grade yesterday. Will check diesel today.

 

[MEL_Traveller]

Petrol in Adelaide is cheaper than before the war. $1.61 for base grade yesterday. Will check diesel today.

And in Sydney! For some reason Ampol had really cheap fuel on Sunday, $1.59 a litre, with a further 4c off with a shopping docket… so $1.55!

 

[AuSammy]

Petrol in Adelaide is cheaper than before the war. $1.61 for base grade yesterday. Will check diesel today.

In my limited experience, Adelaide seems to always be cheaper than Brisbane.

Intriguing as SA doesn’t have a refinery and there is a refinery less than 10km from me

 

[Pushka]

SA Adelaide. Did see it at $1.95 just up the road for diesel.

 

[jrfsp]

From the ABC:

“The Commonwealth Bank (CBA) has penned a note on the oil market.

Here is the key paragraph from the note:

Even if escalations between US and Iran cool, time is ticking before global oil and refined product stockpiles fall to operational stress levels.

If these levels are reached, which we believe could happen between mid‑June to mid‑July if the strait remains closed, Brent oil prices may need to surge to ~$US150/bbl to force demand destruction in emerging Asian economies (i.e. where high prices force lower demand).”

If oil gets to $150 a barrel the global economy will grind to a crawl.

 

[Melburnian1]

From the ABC:

“The Commonwealth Bank (CBA) has penned a note on the oil market.

Here is the key paragraph from the note:

Even if escalations between US and Iran cool, time is ticking before global oil and refined product stockpiles fall to operational stress levels.

If these levels are reached, which we believe could happen between mid‑June to mid‑July if the strait remains closed, Brent oil prices may need to surge to ~$US150/bbl to force demand destruction in emerging Asian economies (i.e. where high prices force lower demand).”

If oil gets to $150 a barrel the global economy will grind to a crawl.

No sign of 'escalations' cooling.

I am surprised that no one in Australia seems to now be panic buying.

 

[Pushka]

From the ABC:

“The Commonwealth Bank (CBA) has penned a note on the oil market.

Here is the key paragraph from the note:

Even if escalations between US and Iran cool, time is ticking before global oil and refined product stockpiles fall to operational stress levels.

If these levels are reached, which we believe could happen between mid‑June to mid‑July if the strait remains closed, Brent oil prices may need to surge to ~$US150/bbl to force demand destruction in emerging Asian economies (i.e. where high prices force lower demand).”

If oil gets to $150 a barrel the global economy will grind to a crawl.

It's pretty much mid June now so that call is old. Not saying it's wrong but not current either.

 

[Saab34]

Some airlines are saying they are now budgeting for high pricing until the end of the year.

I’d expect some takeovers coming soon. Some will surely fold.

 

[Quickstatus]

Look at the Oil futures instead.