- Mar 29, 2006
One could only hope.Perhaps greater fuel efficiencies and increased range of modern and future aircraft design will also render the compulsory stop in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, or Doha unnecessary?
I do not disagree with that, except to say that advances in fuel efficiency and thus range would also reduce weight and flight times. I would envisage that next generation (not the ones being built now) would also reduce flight times as they get closer to the speed of sound without exceeding it.One could only hope.
There are people who don't like the length of some flights now when they top out at ~15 hours. I know lots of people who refuse to be on a plane for more then 8 hours at a time. They take routes like MEL-KUL-DXB-FCO with a 30ish hour stop at each connection point.
When airlines start doing routes like MEL-JFK, ICN-EZE or LHR-SYD with ~19+ hour flight times, people aren't going to want to book them.
Very unlikely to see commercial aircraft going faster than they do now, in fact the trend has been the reverse with new models slowing down since the 60s, when the Convair 880 and 990 were pushing the speed envelope very close to the speed of sound. Todays aircraft cruise at M.85 or thereabouts, there is not to much to gain in reality going faster.I do not disagree with that, except to say that advances in fuel efficiency and thus range would also reduce weight and flight times. I would envisage that next generation (not the ones being built now) would also reduce flight times as they get closer to the speed of sound without exceeding it.
LHR-SYD was done in just over 20 hours by OJA on her delivery flight, so your numbers are good!At current speed, SYD-LHR non-stop would require roughly 20 hours of flight time. Even if fuel efficiency is achieved, crewing will become an issue with the hours. Current cruise speed is Mach 0.85, so even at Mach 1, it will take roughly 16 - 17 hours. I suppose it's possible, although not quite feasible without going supersonic, which in itself is extremely unlikely in our life time for commercial airliners.