AusAlert - Quite short, really

Current stats from Apple don't go into enough detail, but at least 21% of iPhones will not receive AusAlert based on this. Will be more because it's likely some of those on iOS 26 are not >26.4

79% - iOS 26
14% - iOS 18
7% - Earlier
 
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iPhone 11 was widely reported to be receiving the message, but subject to OS updates of course.

I thought it was interesting that the dept running the thing said they got to 95% or mobile phone towers. Wonder why not 100% or just short? 5% can't be 'out', surely?
Probably mostly maintenance and or upgrades to 5G etc.

There are a LOT of cell towers out there but a lot of overlaps. So someone in a rural area who’s stuffed because their Optus tower is down should still be able to get the alert from a Telstra tower and v.v.
 
From Google/AI search, it seems:

No, older iPhones like the iPhone X, iPhone 8, and iPhone XR cannot be upgraded to iOS 26. Compatibility starts with the iPhone 11 and newer models

An estimated 14 million to 16 million total iPhones are currently in active use across Australia, driven by Apple's dominant 59.5% mobile market share in a country with roughly 23.6 million active smartphone users

Estimated Older iPhones in Use
  • The Estimate: Roughly 500,000 to 1 million devices older than the iPhone 11 remain active in Australia.
.....

So say its 15 million have a phone iPhone 11 or newer. The 1 million might represent:
a) older phones; and
b) represents 6.25% of the 21% that didn't have iOS 26

So the other 14.75% would represent about 2.36 million Apple phones that have iPhone 11 or newer phone, but didn't have iOS 26.

Total of Apple population not covered is about 3.36 million. (which equals the initial indication of 29% of Apple's 16 million population).
 

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