AFF's 110,000th post thread....

[JohnK]

Dates & Times are AEST. To make it interesting, all predictions must be entered by midnight (23:59:59), AEST, 31 March 2008. Deleted posts do not count, only actual posts! I will leave it at AEST as I think daylight saving will be over then.

Closest guess to actual post time will win - regardless of whether the guess is earlier or later than the posting time. Winner will have name engraved in Winner's Podium honour roll.

Good luck to all.

The Australian Frequent Flyer Online Community Statistics - Posts: 106,465

 

[Mal]

4th April @ 10am (Sydney time).

Good luck all

 

[Reggie]

11.00 am on the 12th of April

Just over one day to go people.

 

[serfty]

Threads: 7,716, Posts: 107,669, Members: 9,173

 

[Mwenenzi]

Threads: 7,716, Posts: 107,669, Members: 9,173

I just recored the same from http://www.frequentflyer.com.au/community
serfty: will send you an email with my graphical plot of post vs date


JohnK:
Posts: 106,465:- is that with deleted posts ?
Does the http://www.frequentflyer.com.au/community the post count include or exclude deleted posts ?

Taking a data point at post 80,000, average posts have been reducing over the last few weeks, possibly due to the Easter effect, like what happened with Aust day.

 

[JohnK]

Posts: 106,465:- is that with deleted posts ?
Does the http://www.frequentflyer.com.au/community the post count include or exclude deleted posts ?

That is an actual post count. So yes deleted posts are excluded.

Taking a data point at post 80,000, average posts have been reducing over the last few weeks, possibly due to the Easter effect, like what happened with Aust day.

And some people have been away on holidays.

 

[Evan]

13th April @ 17:45
E

 

[Hawkeye]

14th April, 12MD AEST.

Seems to be a great disparity between predictions.

 

[Mwenenzi]

That is an actual post count. So yes deleted posts are excluded.

So you are saying the http://www.frequentflyer.com.au/community post count excludes deleted posts ?

 

[JohnK]

So you are saying the http://www.frequentflyer.com.au/community post count excludes deleted posts ?

Yes. It is an actual post count.

 

[stuartfaz]

April 10 at 12 noon AEST

 

[serfty]

April 17th, 2008 4pm!

 

[oz_mark]

April 15, 2008 11 pm.

 

[Mwenenzi]

02:35 am April 17th, 2008 AEST (in the morning)

 

[Hvr]

April 12 1823 hours

 

[JohnK]

April 13, 2008 @ 7:36am

 

[Mwenenzi]

Daily Update
Data Point 00 12:35 18/03/08 106465 posts:- When JohnK announced the contest
Data Point 01 22:20 31/03/08 107908 posts:- 108 posts per day from Data Point 00 & a few hours before the contest closed
Data Point 02 18:10 01/04/08 108059 posts:- 112 posts per day from Data Point 00

224 posts per day needed for Mal 10/04/08 @ 10:00am AEST
222 posts per day needed for stuartfaz 10/04/08 @ 12:00pm AEST
181 posts per day needed for Reggie 12/04/08 @ 11:00am AEST
176 posts per day needed for Hvr 12/04/08 @ 18:23pm AEST
168 posts per day needed for JohnK 13/04/08 @ 07:36am AEST
162 posts per day needed for Evan 13/04/08 @ 17:45pm AEST
152 posts per day needed for Hawkeye 14/04/08 @ 12:00pm AEST
137 posts per day needed for oz_mark 15/04/08 @ 23:00pm AEST
126 posts per day needed for Mwenenzi 17/04/08 @ 02:35am AEST
122 posts per day needed for serfty 17/04/08 @ 16:00pm AEST

 

[Hvr]

Mwenenzi, given that daylight savings finishes on 06 April do we have an extra hour on our guesses?

 

[Mwenenzi]

Mwenenzi, given that daylight savings finishes on 06 April do we have an extra hour on our guesses?

No. My error. Will change post above.

 

[JohnK]

No more predictions please....

Mal             04/04/08 @ 10:00am (AEST)
stuartfaz       10/04/08 @ 12:00noon (AEST)
Reggie          12/04/08 @ 11:00am (AEST)
Hvr             12/04/08 @  6:23pm (AEST)
JohnK           13/04/08 @  7:36am (AEST)
Evan            13/04/08 @  5:45pm (AEST)
Hawkeye         14/04/08 @ 12:00noon (AEST)
oz_mark         15/04/08 @ 11:00pm (AEST)
Mwenenzi        17/04/08 @  2:35am (AEST)
serfty          17/04/08 @  4:00pm (AEST)

Good luck to all!