AFF Member Stock Discussion

We missed EGR placement by two minutes due to being at work. The placement closed early and was at 60 cents.
Did not get offered CV1 shares in their placement today despite being a shareholder from a previous placement.Their CV Check shares finished up 2.5 cents and up 3.5 cents on the placement price of 16.5 cents.CV1 is acquiring a bolt on business.
 
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Having a bid for Silver Mines today in their placement.
The market liked the Telstra report so they have moved up. Maybe the dividend is what retal investors love.
We laughed with the broker who put us into Secos which is SES. Their share price is suggesting that their profitability is improving. International freight has become slower and quite a bit more expensive so that may become an issue.
He has another one that we have to check out. First read looks ok with break even having been achieved.
 
The Silver Mines allocation was just under 25% so we were happy we doubled the amount we really wanted.
Over in new problems we have Nearmap getting a short seller and Vita getting told by Telstra that their retail shop contract was finishing in 2025.
So double ouch on those two.....
 
If you are in profit on NEA, it might be time to get out, otherwise take a stop loss. Looks like there could be more downside.
 
Tyro must be worried about the fallout from their recent debacle with their massive terminal outages and subsequent short report, both of which hammered their share price. Completed a Red Planet survey today on business payments via electronic means in general that turned towards a targeted survey on opinions towards Tyro.
 
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If you owned VTG this was inevitable in some shape or form. TLS hate any of their third party providers to produce better returns, financial or non financial, than they do. And when they do, TLS screw and screw and screw until the poor old third party is bleeding from every orifice. And once the third party stands up, dusts themselves down and gets back on with business, TLS come back at them again. It is never ending.

VTG is a case in point and I know of at least 2 other businesses that have been treated similarly over the last few years by TLS.

Don’t assume any generosity from TLS towards VTG as this comes to an end as TLS have never shown any generosity in the past. Don’t be surprised if TLS just say “We’ll run this to the end of the contract and just walk away from you with no obligations on us at all”. TLS will do everything in their power, plus more, to screw the business a few more times, for good measure, before final curtains are drawn.

Maxine won’t win this one. She hasn’t really won any of the past battles with TLS either to be brutally honest.

Shorters will come after VTG in a mad rush. They will see the writing on the wall and trap all of the delusional punters who think Maxine will walk away from this a winner and that the other nonsense businesses that she has spent (wasted) shareholders money on will suddenly become winners......

I was once in VTG and did reasonably well out of them but I got out when she started indicating she had the upper hand over TLS, then promptly got screwed at the negotiating table whilst selling a swag of her shares. Roger Montgomery drank the Kool-Aid that Maxine poured and he got burnt and severely embarrassed himself in the process.
 
Long Short Fund LSF is going to pay a dividend. That is quite a recovery.
CQE the childcare specialist is diversifying and raising the distribution rate. A huge change from the tatters of ABC Learning.
We are holding plenty of Telstra and Vocus so the VTG pain is dulled by that.
 
Was very happy that Nearmap was in trading halt on Friday so we did not sell NEA. Big rally today. We did get them at 7 cents a long time ago.
 
We are now happy that we missed Xinja which was a start up bank that has now handed back its banking licence.
We did take up Novatti and they copped a query today from the ASX. Not sure what is causing the share price to jump today.
Acumentis has had a long term and founding shareholder selling down to below 5% of the company. Once that selling stops ACU may trade up a bit.
Gee we got Bendigo Bank wrong as their profit jumped in their latest report today. There we were looking at their operating expenses having risen rather than their progress in sales of money.
Aurizon’s report was better than we had expected.
 
With CSL returning to the news after we'd thought they'd cancelled production of their COVID-19 vaccine late last year, curious as to your thoughts – will it see this stock rise again, or is this another political gimmick (thanks ScoMo)?
 
With CSL returning to the news after we'd thought they'd cancelled production of their COVID-19 vaccine late last year, curious as to your thoughts – will it see this stock rise again, or is this another political gimmick (thanks ScoMo)?
What is the "political gimmick" you refer to?

CSL are producing one of the vaccines domestically - the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine. That's a known fact, not any gimmick.

CSL producing someone else's vaccine, like they are here, is nowhere near as profitable compared to producing their own vaccine, but that isn't happening now. I don't expect the current arrangements to have material bottom line impacts for CSL - based on what they have previously publicly announced.
 
With CSL returning to the news after we'd thought they'd cancelled production of their COVID-19 vaccine late last year, curious as to your thoughts – will it see this stock rise again, or is this another political gimmick (thanks ScoMo)?
A lot of of CSL’s revenue/profit comes from blood plasma collection in the States, which has been greatly hampered in recent times. I don’t expect things to improve for at least another 6-12 months or until the vast majority are vaccinated and some confidence returns to blood donations.

CSL is still deemed a growth stock which means Analysts use today’s extremely attractive 3/5/10y bond yields in their DCF (discounted cash flow) calculations to forecast future returns. With bond yields seemingly bottoming out a few months ago, the upward revisions are now a headwind to those lofty valuations.

And of course the rising AUD/USD FX is also hurting their earnings. Team Phlowe are trying to put downward pressure on our currency with additional QE but this will require a lot more sustained effort to match those of our international peers QE.

These last two points are pertinent to a lot of other growth stocks with US earnings for example the tech sector.

Where do I see CSL in the short to medium term? Uncertain, however history is on their side with a massively impressive track record of success. Take a long term view and I think you’ll do OK.
 
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IOU Pay halted pending capital raising.

Another strong day for BD1 also.

OPY up 20%.
Z1P had an ASX inquiry into its price rise lol

Seems the tech funds are gaining traction again.
 
Bidding this morning for Hastings Technology with their rare earth project up north in WA. Trying to be in production in 2023.
 
We upped the quantity we applied for in Hastings Technology so we were happy with the 40% allocated tonight.
The amazing rally in bank shares had to run out of steam but it did get us smiling this week.
 
Yes we have bid for BOQ this morning but the book was already covered so getting our whole bid filled will be unlikely.
Spoke to Silver Mines and they are happy because they can continue drilling with the funds they now have.
TYRO are much closer to breakeven so their shares jumped.
 
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