Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

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coughulative under investigation has more than doubled in the past week.

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Well under the Sydney non-definition of essential workers ..............
And herein lies a major challenge of having south-western Sydney at the centre of the current outbreak. So many of Sydney's truck drivers, couriers, food delivery drivers, healthcare workers, aged-care workers, construction workers and others live in the south-western suburbs, and so a large (if not the largest) concentration of what would be deemed an essential worker - by probably any lockdown definition (construction aside, for now) - is in this area of Sydney. Even more are in a position wherein they could not work from home or away from sites.

Some say we should lock down the area totally... but if we were to put up the 'ring of steel' and literally hold the communities inside, then all manner of distribution services from the myriad warehouses in the district are also stopped, and that would mean more and more people in the other LGAs of Sydney coming out more and more, travelling further and further (for valid reason) to try and offset the impacts of that disruption. The cases would then become more broadly disbursed and would seed or re-seed areas with little or no numbers, currently.

When we combine this reliance on workers from the south western suburbs with asymptomatic infection, large families living together or on top of one another, English commonly a second language, clear movements between households however fleeting (dropping food off between homes, for example), plus the usual numbers of those who like to ignore or flout the rules and authority (which is a little higher in this area... let's be honest), it's clear there's a lot more scrub to burn through before this fire is out.

Hoping I'm wrong...

Cheers,
Matt.
 
NSW Health Minister falls apart again…. Sigh… how predictable
Reporter James triggers him every day - I actually enjoy seeing the NSW Health Minister get snarky with some of them.

I also wish all reporters would be given a number and ask questions in order. Less of a screaming frenzy
 
Some interesting stats - 300,000 workers in construction in Sydney. so 5% of the population - not sure what that is as a proportion of the workforce/current employment.

Previous strains 30% strike rate through households
Delta 100% strike rate through households.

I doubt very much complacency could account for 70% increase.
 
Vic Presser.

Sutton.
The 22 cases :

  • 5 Trinity Grammar
  • 5 Ms Frankie
  • 3 linked to Young and Jackson’s
  • 3 St Patrick’s Murumbeena
  • 2 from AAMI Park ( Note this were actually seated with rows of the seed case unlike all the other AAMI cases before)
  • 2 Bacchus Marsh Grammar
  • 1 worker from West Gate Tunnel
  • 1 family member from previously unlinked case in Roxburgh Park ( case now linked)

1 case in ICU - From Barwon Region.

5 people in hospital.
 
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And herein lies a major challenge of having south-western Sydney at the centre of the current outbreak. So many of Sydney's truck drivers, couriers, food delivery drivers, healthcare workers, aged-care workers, construction workers and others live in the south-western suburbs, and so a large (if not the largest) concentration of what would be deemed an essential worker - by probably any lockdown definition (construction aside, for now) - is in this area of Sydney

.....

When we combine this reliance on workers from the south western suburbs with asymptomatic infection, large families living together or on top of one another, English commonly a second language, clear movements between households however fleeting (dropping food off between homes, for example), plus the usual numbers of those who like to ignore or flout the rules and authority (which is a little higher in this area... let's be honest), it's clear there's a lot more scrub to burn through before this fire is out.

Sounds awfully familiar, much like the NW and outer western suburbs of Melbourne (and some of the SE). Throw in Delta to the mix, not pretty ...
 
Reporter James triggers him every day - I actually enjoy seeing the NSW Health Minister get snarky with some of them.

I also wish all reporters would be given a number and ask questions in order. Less of a screaming frenzy
The NSW Health Minister seems to be more the NSW Premier's bodyguard (vis a vis the press). The day he wasn't there, the NSW Premier probably had her worst day at a press conference this outbreak.
 
I think I'm going to give up on NSW pressers, Gladys' answers today were just nonsense.

Asked about what the modelling shows. Can I just say...there would've been thousands of cases. Yes, but what about what the modelling shows. Please know...<some unrelated point>. But the modelling. The modelling can't predict what people will do. I think that's exactly what it does.
 
At the moment, I just cannot see how the numbers will go down, unless they impose a lockdown China style for a month. That is, completely ring fence an area, test EVERY resident there, and not let anyone to get out (too bad if you happen to be inside the area when they ring fence you). Military provide basic food and health amenities etc.

I just cannot see it happening here though.
 
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At the moment, I just cannot see how the numbers will go down, unless they impose a lockdown China style for a month. That is, completely ring fence an area, test EVERY resident there, and not let anyone to get out (too bad if you happen to be inside the area when they ring fence you). Military provide basic food and health amenities etc.

I just cannot see it happening here though.
Nor should it. We don't live in that sort of system and I'd rather COVID run rampant than concede to that way of life.
 
Quite a telling graph published by ABC (from DoH) of where Primary Contacts are located in Victoria.. (I assume grey dot = town, blue dot = location of primary close contact).


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Many of these stem from having attended the MCG or AAMI Park.
 
Quite a telling graph published by ABC (from DoH) of where Primary Contacts are located in Victoria.. (I assume grey dot = town, blue dot = location of primary close contact).

I would think grey dot is likely a single contact and the darker dots represent higher numbers.
 
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