Qantas Delays/Cancellations

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On Friday 2 October 2015 (today), QF and JQ are operating about 14 flights from PER to MEL in total, which must be close to a record.

QF1232, the 0900 from PER due in MEL at 1430 and one of the many AFL Grand Final extras was cancelled. If this was a very recent decision, one wonders how those travellers would be found seats on other flights that must surely all be full (save for the small minority who are 'no shows' on any flight.)
 
QF27 has a pretty good punctuality record but today (2 October 2015), it departed SYD 67 minutes late at 1232 (B744 VH-OEE) with forecast arrival in SCL at 1210, 65 minutes late. QF28 is not timetabled to depart on the return until 1430 hours SCL time so it should be unaffected.
 
The A388-operated QF11 from SYD to LAX has been delayed for an hour from 0950 to an expected 1050 on Saturday 3 October 2015.

UPDATE: It did not depart until 1124 and is not due in LAX until 0800, 90 minutes late. Unlike on some other occasions, QF suggests that the flight will only pick up four minutes on the run to LAX.
 
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The Saturday 3 October 2015 QF9 (timetabled as a 2255 hours departure on the last pre-AEDT night in 2015) departed at 2326 and on Sunday 4 (today) arrived DXB at 0734, 29 minutes late. However it then languished in the desert until 1113, departing 123 minutes late and hence is expected in LHR at 1600 hours today, 130 minutes late. All being well, this should not delay QF2 as it is not due to depart until 2125.
 
Sunday 4 October's QF10 arrived in MEL 15 minutes early at 2140. However QF9 did not then depart until 0133 this morning (Monday 5 October), meaning a projected 0835 hours arrival in DXB (an hour and a half behind the schedule), forecast departure at 1000 instead of 0910 and possible arrival into LHR just half an hour down at 1420.

A bad start to October for QF9 given that the previous day's (Sat 3 October) flight did not arrive LHR until 1603 hours, two hours and 13 minutes late.
 
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QF6, the redeye 2350 Sunday 4 October SIN departure is running five minutes early and due to arrive SYD today (5 October) at 1040. However it is then forming QF81, the 1120 to SIN - an extremely short, unachievable turnaround for an A330 - and hence has been altered to depart half an hour late at 1150, with arrival in SIN expected 25 minutes behind time at 1710. The aircraft is VH-QPG.

This may have been a recent decision to substitute one aircraft for another on the SIN departure this morning as normally the A330s have a longer turnaround built into their rotations, or in some cases one comes from ex maintenance. Thankfully it is not a major anticipated delay.
 
QF30 on Sunday 4 October (normally departing HKG at 2030) has been delayed overnight until 0830 on Monday 5 October, meaning a MEL arrival at 2040 hours tonight. Reports from passengers as to what arrangements were made (which hotel, how efficiently handled) would be welcome.

VH-QPD is flying down to MEL as QF6001, presumably to go to either HKG or SIN with passengers but neither of these A333 flights are publicly showing as 'delayed' which is odd, but perhaps explained by it being on the 1245 QF35 to SIN with only minimal delay expected. It may explain why the QF6-QF81 move was made in the post above. In the last couple of weeks, QFi seems to have had little or no trouble with its A333 fleet although A332 VH-EBL was on QF19 (SYD - MNL) once or twice, which may reflect the ongoing refurbishment program about which AFF member moa999 does such a sterling job in keeping us all informed as to progress.
 
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Sunday 4 October's QF10 arrived in MEL 15 minutes early at 2140. However QF9 did not then depart until 0133 this morning (Monday 5 October), meaning a projected 0835 hours arrival in DXB (an hour and a half behind the schedule), forecast departure at 1000 instead of 0950 and possible arrival into LHR just half an hour down at 1420.

A bad start to October for QF9 given that the previous day's (Sat 3 October) flight did not arrive LHR until 1603 hours, two hours and 13 minutes late.

Might not be so bad. Looking out the hotel wind right now, I'm visual on top of the fog layer. In a couple of hours it will have burnt off.
 
In post 1767, the overnight delay to the HKG - MEL flight was I gather due to Sunday's QF97 from BNE to HKG making an unscheduled stop in MNL, where it arrived at 1645. Earlier yesterday, there had been typhoon activity around HKG with many flights affected. HKG typically bears the brunt of about six typhoons per annum, whereas Philippines (albeit spread widely throughout that island nation) can receive 20.

Thank you jb747 for the on the spot update. I have corrected my post regarding DXB to mean 'departure at 1000 instead of 0910': I had incorrectly typed '0950' for the latter time. QF is expecting this flight to pick up 20 minutes on the schedule between DXB and LHR, not lose 20 minutes as a reading of my uncorrected times would have claimed.
 
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QF7 (A388 VH-OQA) on Monday 5 October from SYD departed at 1543, an hour and 43 minutes late, for DFW. Arrival is likely to be at around 1515 hours in lieu of 1335. Doubtless some will miss their booked connection(s).

QantasLink QF2057 is expected to be 75 minutes late departing at 1655 for Tasmania's DPO while QF2084 is an expected 80 minutes late with its departure to sunny and hot MQL at 1710.
 
How timely that one post above mentioned fog in DXB. The Sunday 4 October 2015 QF2 departed LHR at 2149, 24" late, but was diverted to MCT in Oman where it arrived at 0754 before departing at 0917 - maybe a combination of fog and as one AFFer mentioned recently waiting for a path - to arrive DXB at 1044 (1744 AEDT.) And there it sits, supposedly due out 20 minutes ago at 1210 local time for an increasingly unlikely 0850 hours arrival in SYD on Tuesday 6 October.

At this stage - as always, subject to change - this A388 is forming the 1050 on Tuesday morning to LAX, QF11 ex SYD so there is a good chance that this will be late away if QF is unable to or chooses not to do a swap with one of the other two A388 morning arrivals on a Tuesday (ex DFW and LAX. bearing in mind that the SYD to DFW flight usually does not operate on Tuesdays. I assume that QF11 would be well frequented by AFF members, many of whom if choosing to fly QF might avoid the later B744 departure when the latter non-daily flight operates.

Meanwhile the Sunday evening delayed QF9 did not depart DXB until 1107 on Monday 5 October with a 1630 hours arrival in LHR predicted, just under two and three quarter hours late, but normally in plenty of time to form the evening QF2 back to DXB and SYD.

UPDATE: QF2 (VH-OQB) departed DXB at 1244 (three hours and 29 minutes late) after an exact two hour stay.

FURTHER UPDATE: The QF2 apparently did not depart (or if it did, it taxiied back to the gate.) QF is now showing it as a 1340 hours DXB departure (2040 AEDT) for a 1000 arrival in SYD tomorrow morning, almost four hours late.

QF2 finally departed at 1331 and took off at 1401 for SYD. The QF website forecasts a 1020 hours Tuesday 6 October arrival in SYD.
 
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QF94 from LAX to MEL departed at 2344, 54 minute late on Sunday 4 October and is expected into MEL at 0920 hours on Tuesday 6, 45 minutes behind the schedule. While as yet not publicly disclosed, it is highly likely that QF93 on the 6th will depart a little late, although it often manages to reduce any deficit on the journey across the Pacific. The quickest observed turnaround for an A388 I have seen in recent months was an hour and 43 minutes: many are two hours or so (and of course that is without any 'major issues.')
 
The A330-operated QF81 continued its recent unpunctuality with a departure from SYD on Tuesday 6 October 2015 at 1230 instead of the 1120 timetabled aim. Arrival in SIN is expected to be 45 minutes late at 1730 local timer.
 
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UPDATE: QF2 (VH-OQB) departed DXB at 1244 (three hours and 29 minutes late) after an exact two hour stay.

FURTHER UPDATE: The QF2 apparently did not depart (or if it did, it taxiied back to the gate.) QF is now showing it as a 1340 hours DXB departure (2040 AEDT) for a 1000 arrival in SYD tomorrow morning, almost four hours late.

QF2 finally departed at 1331 and took off at 1401 for SYD. The QF website forecasts a 1020 hours Tuesday 6 October arrival in SYD.

ATC radar in Dubai dropped off line. Control became procedural, and slowed massively.
 
The 1705 QF5 SYD-SIN service departed late today, at 1830, and was operated by a B744 (VH-OJU) instead of the usual A330.
 
QF10 has diverted to ADL due to weather at MEL. Unless they can get out of ADL by 2300 curfew, tonight's QF9 is at risk of being delayed until tomorrow.
 
Presumably due to the storm that hit Melbourne and resulted in the roof of the Balwyn Woolworths collapsing, there is a lot of late running tonight northbound from MEL to SYD (although southbound is hardly affected at all.) I gather there has also been rain in Sydney.

For instance QF456, the 1715 northbound, departed MEL 54 minutes late at 1809 but did not arrive SYD until 1958, 78 minutes late. A couple of other flights took about an hour and 45 minutes between MEL and SYD.

It is at times like this when the value of a high speed rail network linking MEL, CBR and SYD (not to mention SYD, NTL, CFS, OOL and BNE) would be even more pronounced. You have to feel for those businessmen and women trying to get to SYD on a Sunday night because they cannot rely on the airlines being able to get them to SYD on a Monday morning
 
If I want to know any potential delays on QF2 departing LHR, is the flight to watch QF9 from DXB?

ETA: answered my own Q from an earlier post on this thread. Thanks.
 
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