Status Snakes and Ladders - what are my chances?

[aplmac]

So after two or three extensive travel years, in which I was catapulted from Lifetime Bronze to Gold (did not pass Go, spent more than $200, totally crushed it!) , I find myself on the cusp of the status slippery-dip at the end of this month - and it's not something a status run can fix!

Post this month's end, I haven't met "retain Gold" by a long shot (wouldn't even meet Silver qualification), and so expect to be down-graded - even though in the latter part of this year I'll have more QFF earning opportunities (but on partner airlines, just not QF metal, so there's that...).

So, based on anyone's current experience, what can I expect? How far will I fall - Silver, back to LTBronze ? Could I get another years' gratuitous extension, given past history? These are the questions...!

What do you reckon?!

 

[Hvr]

You'll drop one level.

 

[Aeryn]

You will soft land to silver.

Only way to retain gold would be to burn an unreasonable amount of points if offered.

 

[CaptJCool]

So after two or three extensive travel years, in which I was catapulted from Lifetime Bronze to Gold (did not pass Go, spent more than $200, totally crushed it!) , I find myself on the cusp of the status slippery-dip at the end of this month - and it's not something a status run can fix!

Post this month's end, I haven't met "retain Gold" by a long shot (wouldn't even meet Silver qualification), and so expect to be down-graded - even though in the latter part of this year I'll have more QFF earning opportunities (but on partner airlines, just not QF metal, so there's that...).

So, based on anyone's current experience, what can I expect? How far will I fall - Silver, back to LTBronze ? Could I get another years' gratuitous extension, given past history? These are the questions...!

What do you reckon?!

Given past history, it’s not out of the question

Whether the “x” year rolling average works in your favour, time will tell.

With no forward bookings, it’s probably not promising.
Since you’re in Sydney, you could consider the $319 J fare from Newcastle to Brisbane as a way to bolstering status credits ahead of the end of May Some are available …