Qantas Upgrades - Successes or Failures (post results)

Was J7 at T-96 for a late BNE>MEL departure so tried for a minimum upgrade now bid of $230 (tax deductible too).
Success at T-25.
Didn't want to bid points as not worth it.
 
Late report from Thursday 1 October: the happy text at 8pm the night before my 10pm HND-SYD QF60 flight, as a solo WP booked in Y (Saver fare). I have a very good track record of solo WP upgrades, and also figured a Thursday night flight might be less full than a Friday night one.
 
QF75 SYD-YVR 26SEP - Y>Y+ Success...undoubtedly someone getting bumped from Y+>J helped me
QF38 SIN-MEL 10OCT - Y>J Fail...not unexpected given the seatmap from a few days earlier showed the flight as full...
 
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QF30 HK to Mel. Fiexi economy to business unsuccessful as Platinum.

It was my 27th flight on that specific route, I haven’t been tracking the upgrades but at a guess I’ve around a 60-70% success rate of upgrading with points.
 
QF81 SYD-SIN C > F success at T-59 hours.

WP, but requested upgrade through wife's P1 account. Loads were F7 A3 at T-7 days. Dropped to F4 at T-5 days. Then F0 after my upgrade (and others presumably) was processed.
 
Success for QF2 SIN-SYD on 19/10 from Y to J. Booked it only 2 weeks ago so wasn't 100% confident.

Alert came at T-62 hours.
 

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