Qantas Delays/Cancellations

QF27, Friday 28 February's lunchtime long flight from SYD to SCL did not push back until 1609 hours,and then took off at 1628, so expected same day arrival has become 1358 hours, 168 minutes tardy. The return QF28 is showing as a proposed 1555 hours departure (160 late) with SYD Saturday 29 arrival at 2015, 145 minutes behind the schedule...

The flight arrived SCL on Friday 28 at 1405 hours, 175 late, departing as QF28 at 1617, 162 late. SYD arrival on Saturday 29 February evening has become a suggested 2040, 170 late. QF25 is expected to push back in SYD 25 minutes late at 2200 this evening according to QFi, but that time may not have been adjusted, as normally it takes at least 95 minutes to turn around a B744 from observations I've made over the years. A better estimate may be 2220 ex SYD.
 
QF127, the Saturday 29 February 2020 0935 hours SYD - HKG is expected to depart at 1410, arrival becoming 1945, 235 minutes behind the timetable. Redeye QF128 back down to SYD is predicted to depart at 2140 hours (200 late) with Sunday 1 March arrival 1005 hours, 205 minutes past the allotted.

Tomorrow (1 March) is the final day (for the time being) of operation of these flights by a B744. They then become an A332 for one day (2 March) and then from 3 onwards, a B789 is requisitioned to run these offerings. It's a dramatic decrease in daily capacity and with the virus in full swing, MEL and BNE to/from HKG QFi flights have also been scaled back, though in frequency not aircraft size.
 
QF63, the 1135 hours SYD - JNB B744 kicked off autumn in departing SYD on 1 March 2020 at 1425 hours, 170 minutes late for expected JNB arrival at 1855 hours, 140 behind. This will delay redeye QF64 back across to Sydney.

Also on Sunday 1, QF11, the B789 from LAX across to JFK is expected to push back 40 minutes late at 0900 hours, arriving 'Big Apple' gate at 1655, 25 behind. This is due to the aircraft that forms it departing as QF15 from BNE at 1341 hours (151 late ) with estimated LAX arrival 0805 hours, 125 behind. Based on observations, it may take longer than 55 minutes for this B789's intermediate LAX stop.
 
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Later on Sunday 1 March, QF45, the 1730- hours MEL - DPS B738 VH-XZD departed 17 minutes behind schedule but did not take off until 1826, a very long period of 39 minutes from pushback to lift off. Arrival is a predicted 2120 hours, 50 minutes late.

QF95 (the B789 due to depart MEL at 2220 hours) should instead do so at 0045 on Monday 2 March, 145 late with SFO arrival estimated as 1935 hours, 115 minutes behind the timetable. Although on Saturday 29 February, QF10 departed LHRtwo minutes early at 1153, arriving PER today at 1249 hours, 19 minutes late, it did not depart the latter until 1705 this afternoon, 185 minutes tardy. Hence MEL suggested arrival is 2325 hours late this evening, three hours late.

As a side issue on Friday 28, QF10 pushed back in LHR at 1324, 89 late with eventual MEL arrival last night (Saturday 1) at 2137 hours, 72 minutes behind the timetable.

QF10 has usually been punctual or close to it since its introduction, and has yet to be diverted IIRC (although as others have remarked, due to winds, the northbound ex PER QF9 is the more likely candidate for this.)
 
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Some disruption to flights in and out of ASP today, and perhaps to subsequent flights operated by affected aircraft:
QF1851 (B717 VH-NXG) AYQ-ASP had a landing gear issue, occupying the runway for approx 40 min after landing at 1109 ACST.
As well as likely affecting the reciprocal QF1854 this afternoon, this has resulted in QF790 (B737 VH-VYK) SYD-ASP diverting to ISA, and QF723 (B737 VH-VZJ) ADL-ASP diverting to AYQ and will likely substantially delay the scheduled return flights for those aircraft to their points of origin (QF 791 &QF722 respectively)
 
Some disruption to flights in and out of ASP today, and perhaps to subsequent flights operated by affected aircraft:..

As with a few airports in northwest WA and Mt Isa plus Ayers Rock, these locations must be among the worst in Oz if an airline could pick 'where' it wanted to NOT have an 'incident', as there typically won't be a substitute available within cooee and distances are significant to the busier capital city airports.
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On Sunday 1 March, the crosscountry B789 on QF11 departed LAX 66 minutes late at 0926 hours, arriving JFK in the good ol' east coast USA at 1711 hours, 71 minutes behind the timetable. QF12 departed at 1842 for the westwards run, 42 late with LAX arrival suggested as 2127, 22 late.
 
On Monday 2 March, QF93 (1040 hours MEL - LAX) departed at 1154, with arrival same day estimated at 0659 hours, 49 late.

Typically QF93 is the inbound QF36 from Singapore which typically gets in around 6am so it only gets affected if its running really late. But for some reason today's QF93 was the inbound QF94 - VH-OQH while VH-OQE which did QF36 was ferried up to Sydney as QF6011 and is now on QF11.

While QF94 got in ahead of schedule at 9.17am, it was a far shorter turnaround for this aircraft than if was on QF35. QF35-36 today is an A330-200 - VH-EBM which came in from Hong Kong as QF30 this morning.
 
..While QF94 got in ahead of schedule at 9.17am, it was a far shorter turnaround for this aircraft than if was on QF35. QF35-36 today is an A330-200 - VH-EBM which came in from Hong Kong as QF30 this morning.

Thanks NSun, great information.

QF29 no longer operates on Mondays or Wednesdays MEL to HKG so did that have anything to do with the unusual arrangements?
 
QF93 MEL-LAX 03/03 is delayed 12 hours from its scheduled 10:40 departure to 22:00. Related to the above QF94/QF11 substitution?
 
QF94 1/3 is delayed 12 hours and is departing 0930 2/3. This will then become the QF93 tomorrow departing late.

QF35 tomorrow 3/3 is operated by OQB currently on DFW-SYD and the will be ferried down to MEL.
 
QF94 1/3 is delayed 12 hours and is departing 0930 2/3. This will then become the QF93 tomorrow departing late.

QF35 tomorrow 3/3 is operated by OQB currently on DFW-SYD and the will be ferried down to MEL.

Cannot be avoided (unless 'the 35/36' were to be cancelled) but an expensive way to operate a return MEL - SIN. It won't worry QFi in the sense of just a tiny weeny percentage - perhaps 0.0001 per cent of its annual revenue - but doesn't assist in maintaining profits when there's every likelihood it (like so many other airlines) may have started losing money overall in that division due to the virus. From speaking with a travel agent I know, his bookings (and enquiries) have plummeted. He tells me a couple of his competitors are also suffering: no surprises there.

Airlines have huge fixed costs, only some of which stare us in the face when we check in and board.

The overnight delayed QF94 should arrive MEL at 2005 hours on Tuesday 3 March instead of its usual 0950 hours, so 615 minutes late.

QF93 tomorrow is displaying as a 2200 hours ex MEL for suggested LAX arrival at 1705 hours, 655 minutes behind the timetable, but thankfully at its gate (if all goes to plan) in plenty of time to form a punctual QF94 (or QF12) to MEL or SYD.
 
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but an expensive way to operate a return MEL - SIN

They can probably make money from ferrying it. We used to fly passenger 767 across the Tasman all the time with no passengers yet full of cargo. And just recently an A330 did SYD-AKL-CHC-SYD with no pax.

Whilst each ferry flight would be different, it would not be unheard of that they load a whole bunch of cargo bound for MEL to help transport more cargo tomorrow.
 
Continuing with Monday 2 March, QF791 (VH-VZJ, the 1205 hours early lunchtime ASP - SYD airborne at 1311 this afternoon) is arriving at 1721, 56 minutes behind its timetable.
 
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Referring to milehighclub's information above, the overnight delayed QF94 managed to push back in LAX at 0927 hours on Monday 2 March with estimated arrival in MEL on Tuesday 3 a little later, at 2021 tonight, than QFi had projected. This morning's QF93, the 1040 hours back to LAX is still displaying as a 2200 hours pushback tonight, but that's likely to be a slight underestimate of the delay.

The QF website indicates that QF8 arrived SYD on Tuesday 2 March at 0619, only 14 minutes late but other sites including Sydney Airport's suggest that VH_OQB (A388) arrived at about 0757 hours, 107 minutes late.

The LAX - SYD QF12 has VH-OQL and is arriving on Tuesday morning at 0924 hours, 49 minutes late.

Monday 2 March's QF8, the 1945 hours, is expected to depart DFW at 2245 so Wednesday 4 SYD arrival is forecast for 0900 hours, 175 minutes tardy. This was because yesterday's QF7 pushed back 170 late at 1730, arriving DFW at 1458, 123 minutes behind schedule. Maybe the aircraft needs a certain number of hours on the ground for maintenance.
 
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Today's QF35/36 is back to an A380 but with the QF94 delay Qantas are ferrying down VH-OQB as QF6012. It is scheduled to arrive in Melbourne at 11.05am so this will delay QF35 and likely QF36 as well.

QF35 is showing as a 1pm departure, scheduled to arrive in Singapore at 5.55pm - 50 minutes behind schedule.
 
Apologies that I didn't see this last night, but the Monday 2 March 2020 QF25, the 2135 hours mid evening redeye SYD up to HND B744 has been delayed until its 'alternative' time of 1440 this afternoon. Arrival should be at 2210 hours instead of 0500, 1150 minutes late. Tonight's QF26 will be delayed in pushing back from 2200 to 2355 with expected Wednesday 4 arrival 1135, two hours late. These times are standard practice whenever the B744 has an unexpected overnight stay in SYD as slot restrictions at HND come into play. Very annoying though for business passengers, and any leisure travellers with tight schedules.

Monday night's QF64 B744 pushed back in JNB at 1939 hours, 49 late with Tuesday 3 SYD arrival claimed as 1614, 39 minutes tardy.

UPDATE: QF25D is further delayed to an expected 1530 hours mid afternoon ex SYD with HND arrival becoming 2300 tonight, 1140 minutes tardy. QF26 is still incorrectly showing as '2355 hours ex HND' but in line with the QF site's practice, this will be amended (to even later) once 'the 25' is at cruising altitude.

FURTHER UPDATE: The projected revised QF25D pushback has become 1545. Rarely a good sign, and means a longer wait in Tokyo for tonight's QF26 patrons.

ANOTHER UPDATE: The QF25D forecast departure has become 1605, but that time has passed.
 
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On Tuesday 3 March, the overnight delayed QF25D finally departed SYD at 1620 hours and took off at 1639 hours (B744 VH-OEH) with HND at gate arrival estimated as 2320 hours late tonight local time, 1220 minutes behind schedule.

Tonight's QF26 redeye should therefore push back at about 0105 for SYD arrival on Wednesday 4 at around the 1215 to 1230 hours marks.

The MEL - SIN QF37 was off blocks at 1737, 17 late but arrival is delayed until 2250, 35 minutes behind. as it did not take off until 1753. VH-EBS is the A332.
 
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In more on 3 March, the overnight delayed QF94D from LAX arrived MEL at 2021 instead of 0950 hours. QF93, the similarly delayed - though a fdaytime delay - that is normally the 1040 hours ex MEL had not pushed back by 2205 hours.
 
The overnight delayed QF25 arrived HND at 2350 hours on Tuesday 3 March, with QF26 then pushing back at 0126 hours on Wednesday 4 (206 minutes behind schedule.) SYD arrival should be 1237 hours, 182 minutes tardy.

This in turn for lead to a significant delay for QF27, the lunchtime 1245 hours SYD across to SCL with anticipated departure at 1450. Same day arrival is estimated as 1310 hours, two hours behind. So the Wednesday 4 March QF28 from SCL back to SYD will be tardy, departing at about 1500 - 85 minutes late and perhaps arriving SYD around an hour late at 1850 tomorrow night. This looks like forming the Thursday mid evening 2135 hours SYD - HND QF25, so if 'the 28' is much later, that too will be delayed (although the Japanese flight usually on a gate-to-gate basis takes up less time than the timetable allows: it can arrive HND as early as 0430 if punctual out of Sydney.)
 
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