QF94 (A388 class leader VH-OQA), the 2250 hours LAX - MEL on Thursday 16 January did not depart until the unpleasant time of 0205 on Friday 17. It is diverting to SYD, where arrival is showing as 1235 hours on Saturday 18, but at 1206 was holding offshore in the Tasman Sea. QFi suggests departure for MEL will then be at 1320 - perhaps optimistic based on past such unplanned intermediate stops - and arrival in MEL at 1505 hours mid afternoon, 315 minutes behind schedule...
It was in SYD from 1240 to 1407, arriving MEL at 1541, so again the QFi software underestimated such a delay, in this case a flight (and cabin?) crew change.
Therefore, QF35 will be even more delayed, the revised pushback estimate being 1730 hours for SIN arrival at gate at about 2220 hours late this evening, 315 ;late. 'The 36' remains showing as a proposed 2345 hours ex SIN but 0005 would be more realistic. Time will tell.
QF1 (SYD - SIN A388) is forecast to depart half an hour behind at 1730, ironically the same forecast as for 'connecting' QF35 from MEL. Neat!
UPDATE: QF35 from MEL has ben further delayed to a predicted pushback at 1750 hours for a 2240 hours arrival. QF37, the 1720 hours on the same route should depart at 1800 early this evening, arriving 45 late at 2300 hours.
There is a good chance QF35 on Sunday 19 will be delayed out of MEL should the arriving, much delayed QF36 form it.
FURTHER UPDATE: QF35 was off blocks in MEL at 1818 hours on Saturday 18. Updated estimated SIN arrival is 2309, 364 minutes late. QF36 is suggested as pushing back at 0035 on Sunday for MEL arrival of 1100 hours, five hours late.
'The 37' has been revised to a 2000 hours ex MEL, 160 minutes late with Lion City arrival estimated as 0100 hours on Sunday 19, 165 behind. If it forms QF38, the latter may push back at about 0215 if all goes well.