Unpacking Iranian president’s statement
As we have just reported, Qatar said it thwarted a missile attack minutes after Iranian media released a pre-recorded video of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian saying that neighbouring countries would no longer be targeted if no attacks originated from their soil.
Our colleague Resul Serdar, who has extensively covered Iranian politics, has offered some context to better understand the situation:
“Political figures in Iran are responsible on running state affairs and ‘non-strategic’ affairs. But when it comes to strategic affairs, such as the country’s foreign and security policies, politicians don’t have a say, including the president who according to the constitution is the number two in charge – this is a very well know fact in Iran,” Serdar said.
The centre of power lies with the office of the Supreme Leader and with the IRGC, even during peace time. Now that the country faces what it sees as a war of survival, Pezeshkian is likely not in a position to stop any attacks as “the IRGC is now in charge fully”.
“They will decide whether to attack or not,” Resul said, adding that the new Revolutionary Guards’ chief, Ahmad Vahidi, is considered one of the “most radical commanders” of the group since its foundation.
“I don’t think Pezeshkian or other politicians will have any influence when it comes to security politics,” he added.