Looming Jet Fuel Shortages?

[Quickstatus]

it’s about government action in the event major disruption.

However, the action is going to be very different when the issue is a fuel shortage or potential fuel shortage

 

[LionKing]

However, the action is going to be very different when the issue is a fuel shortage or potential fuel shortage

I think despite the loud noise from media about 'We are running out of fuel', it seems the government is handling it reasonably well, but the supply is currently secured on a month by month basis.

First we were thinking fuel shortage after Easter, then late April, and now we are into May.

Perhaps in May we can hear they are secured in June and so forth. So I think unless we start to see substantial fall on fuel reserve otherwise I think there's nothing to worried about other than cost of living right now.

 

[LionKing]

That sounds very class conscious.

People in Y have just as many rights to travel as anyone else.

Budget airlines generally have higher passenger loads and less luggage and I would think are a more efficient use of fuel if we need to conserve fuel.

Regrettably, I don't think successful and important people would like to travel with someone who like to put their bare feet beside me, or get drunk or being erratic enough to disrupt my next important conference somewhere.

I do believe if fuel levels get to that bare, perhaps getting more people on the same plane would save fuel, maybe then we should also work from home to save even more fuel and avoid unnecessary travels.

I have noticed that during these 2 weeks there're a lot less cars on the streets than before Easter, and I thought that would be because of School Holidays. I would suggest in the event of fuel crisis, we should stop in person school and university attendance which would significantly reduce fuel use in our country.

 

[Warragul]

Regrettably, I don't think successful and important people would like to travel with someone who like to put their bare feet beside me, or get drunk or being erratic enough to disrupt my next important conference somewhere.

Sometimes they are one and the same.
Successful and important but what measure? Being in the pointy end.?Pfft.

 

[elanshin]

I think despite the loud noise from media about 'We are running out of fuel', it seems the government is handling it reasonably well, but the supply is currently secured on a month by month basis.

First we were thinking fuel shortage after Easter, then late April, and now we are into May.

Perhaps in May we can hear they are secured in June and so forth. So I think unless we start to see substantial fall on fuel reserve otherwise I think there's nothing to worried about other than cost of living right now.

Yes - in a crisis situation, you can only really do short term forecasting. The real debate and longer term question (has nothing to do with the current situation) is why were we at such low numbers to begin with and what we can do to rectify that over the next decade.

But in the short term, everything is basically worked on in a short term span because honestly this is a supply shock that we have no idea when it'll end. It could be tomorrrow, it could be next week, a month, 6 month or year+.

I suspect on the Jetfuel side of the equation, we'll see some of the poorer countries having problems before the most advanced economies really start struggling. Capacity cuts and such are more likely reflecting profitability with increased costs right now more than actual shortages today.

I have noticed that during these 2 weeks there're a lot less cars on the streets than before Easter, and I thought that would be because of School Holidays. I would suggest in the event of fuel crisis, we should stop in person school and university attendance which would significantly reduce fuel use in our country.

You'll find a lot more other problems when about half of the working economy loses their daycare. School holidays are hell for some parents as they have to juggle kids at home and still working.

 

[elanshin]

It's also interesting to see how different airlines and different markets play things out. On one end you have budget carriers cancelling reducing flights. On the other you have sub $600 Economy RT fares on CZ from SYD - TYO via CAN. (I get the feeling Chinese carriers aren't feeling any fuel squeeze ...)

 

[RSD]

It's also interesting to see how different airlines and different markets play things out. On one end you have budget carriers cancelling reducing flights. On the other you have sub $600 Economy RT fares on CZ from SYD - TYO via CAN. (I get the feeling Chinese carriers aren't feeling any fuel squeeze ...)

Probably not at their home ports anyway...

Chinese carriers to Europe in Y are about $2500 cheaper than QF for travel out late May and returning mid-June.

 

[clifford]

China has been smart in relation to fuel, but Australia has been asleep at the wheel.