Effect of US Election on USA Flights

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Misslingling

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I'm not too knowledgeable on economics so I thought I'd throw this question out to more learned crowds. What, if any, effects will there be on flight prices to (and from) the USA after the US election?
 
No direct impact immediately. Will be more dependent on how both economies fare in the months and years following.
 
There may well be some positives for Australians but how you would ever quantify it - AUD definitely stronger against USD as the Presidential Race tightens:

Trump 1.JPG
 
Most such people would be heading north.

I'm in DC at the moment.
Leaving the US the night before the election.

I arrive 2 days before the big day. Will be interesting to be there and see/watch what goes on. i'm out the following Friday so can leave whatever chaos occurs.
I doubt much will happen to air travel until "things" start to happen to the economy.
 
If, and it's a big IF Trump wins, the $US will tank overnight (similar to Brexit's effect on the Pound). Won't immediately change airfares, but will make internal flights cheaper for Australians, and accomodation cheaper etc.
 
PLANT;[URL="tel:1537546" said:
1537546[/URL]]I'm calling it.... Trump win win!

I think Americans are just crazy enough to elect him.

Recommend Sportsbet if you're confident of a win. Trump $3.25.
 
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I think if Clinton wins, as is likely, it will be steady sailing. She's not out to change the world, or even the USA much. which is a pity because there are many things about the USA that I think need changing. The gap between rich and poor, and all the things that keep that widening. The shootings, the schools etc.

Trump, to my mind, says he'll make America great again but his policies, such as they are, hold little hope of that occurring. To my mind, his past experience and behaviour so far will lead to the opposite effect. I would see scandal and impeachment as a high likelihood, and the equivalent of national bankruptcy, and certainly war and internal strife. The burden would be borne by those on the bottom.

For the traveller, the USD dropping. Good for us, but at the cost of decreased security - higher chances of being mugged, baggage pilfered and so on. Not to mention riots and disturbances. There's a number of these events each year, but if tension grows, they'll be more frequent.

A more insular USA would likely impose more checks and restrictions on visitors. More scrutiny on arrival, higher fees, the ESTA scheme being wound back further and so on.

Anyone with a Hispanic name, Mexican passport, or some sign of Islamic devotion (Koran in luggage, facial hair, olive skin, foreign name) would be denied entry and charged a wall fee.
 
If, and it's a big IF Trump wins, the $US will tank overnight (similar to Brexit's effect on the Pound). Won't immediately change airfares, but will make internal flights cheaper for Australians, and accomodation cheaper etc.

Actually the effect on the $USD is likely to be the opposite to what you suggest. Typically in US election years the NYSE falls during the last week before polling (as we are seeing now) on the uncertainty of the result. Typically the market will then rise after the election irrespective of who wins - with only a delayed / uncertain result being an exception to that. A good example of what an uncertain result does to markets was when Gillard eventually won after the result was in limbo for quite a while. The market usually rises after the election just because certainty has been achieved. The same factor will likely see the $USD strengthen and gold drop next week (notice how the gold price has risen this week on the uncertainty too).

Of course I may be wrong but historically that's what happens. I don't think Trump will be the bogey man for markets that many are predicting, should he win. Time will tell, but I bought my $USD for an upcoming trip last night because I expect you won't get 76.5c next week.
 
I don't think Trump will be the bogey man for markets that many are predicting, should he win. Time will tell, but I bought my $USD for an upcoming trip last night because I expect you won't get 76.5c next week.

Trump knows how to run a business or two; Clinton does not. His (and Clinton's) anti free trade stances are a negative for Australia and the world (and the USA!) generally, but since economists are incorrect so often, I too don't think over the longer term that the US dollar will fall as much (and perhaps not at all) as so many have predicted in the last few days.

It must still be difficult for Trump to win given that Clinton has the advantage in a number of the more populous states with large numbers of electoral college votes and Clinton probably has the lead among early voters, but this is an unusual election and one can detect a real sense of annoyance in the USA at the political and administrative elite of which the Clintons are part, and Trump, as an 'outsider', is not. The media in the USA and Australia is mostly biased against Trump and is doing what it can to overlook Clinton's many serious flaws, but highlighting Trump's flaws ad nauseum.

We also need to remember that if the Republicans win a majority in Congress, much power will reside with them, so it's not just about who becomes President.
 
it does make you wonder though, is this really the best two USA has to represent them?
 
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We also need to remember that if the Republicans win a majority in Congress, much power will reside with them, so it's not just about who becomes President.
Can't (legally) stop him pushing the button though.
 
He's also bankrupted casinos, a college and a hotel.




True and hopefully they'll temper some of his more outlandish ideas.

it does make you wonder though, i this really the best two USA has to represent them?


You almost feel like the whole system needs a "CTRL ALT DEL" button and start again.

Was reading an article about the sorry state of Congress as well and how it is all gerrymandered at a district level. Also bemoaning the partisanship where power is the goal, and that you don't let the other side score points even if it is for the betterment of the country (now that sounds very familiar).

Also believe neither candidate is a bad as we are led to believe by the media. Bad stories and scandals sell newspapers and drive website hits - not stories about the virtues of Donald or Hillary. Also read that one reason Hillary's shortcomings are overlooked a lot by the media - aside from self interest /bias - is that they are well known, scrutinised and old news, most people having formed an opinion on her years ago - even the email scandal. Old news doesn't sell papers - Trump's latest gaff does.
 
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