Follow that thought about the Chinese (state managed) airlines getting up and running and expanding first...It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
For example, what will China do? China will be looking to re-establish its economy and getting its businesses running again. Part of that will be airlines because they employ so many people. So we could be back to having the major Chinese carriers flying all around the world, with multiple daily flights, and fares could be very competitive to fill those planes.
How will national carriers respond to that?
Airports want them back to generate revenue.
Other governments want them back because they deliver tourism revenues.
Business travel may not have many other options.
So, first mover advantage and getting to dictate some terms of the relationship. Seems like something straight out of the Chinese state playbook.
And I reckon plenty of people will accept and go with that because of the convenience.
Now, next step after that is solidified: imagine if all those transiting pax were told that there was no airside transfers in China and that all pax had to enter the country, collect bags and continue onto their next flight? Still okay, because there's not much competition... (and another nation of free (and paranoid) people have be doing that for ages, so fair's fair right?)
Oh and to enter the country you of course have to be fingerprinted and photographed... (and added to the giant database)
As Fred would say, 'just wondering'.