Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

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I was having a discussion this evening with a Melbourne based client. Due to the nature of their business, they are basically exempt from the restrictions but his observations were interesting. The essential point was that he was amazed as to how many people are moving about, compared with the first lock down. He's armed with a wad of paper-work, justifying his travel, but apparently he's yet to use any of it. No police, no stops to check reasons for travelling.
Obviously anecdotal, but I'm wondering if the observations of others in Melbourne can flesh out the picture?

Well in terms of the roads you can see yourself here:


I have looked at various times during the day and all these roads are way below normal level. 7.30 pm last night looked like 3 am. Looking now at 8.20PM again that is a ghost town.

The major roads near me that I walk or drive on are all quiet during the day.

Only busy places are supermarkets (basically about normal, but not at all busy) and walking paths, tracks etc. The buses I have seen have all been empty.

Last time I was at the supermarket cops were booking someone.
 
I think its hard for residents of NSW because they are getting mixed messages, the state government appears to not really doing much but the Feds are screaming at them. It is a confusing message.

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NSW complacency a source of frustration: Deputy CMO

Venues could face closures if COVID-19 breaches continue
Federal Deputy Chief Medical Officer Michael Kidd has offered a blunt warning to NSW residents as pictures and reports emerge of people continuing to not social distance when out and about.

"People only have to look across the border into Victoria to see what happens when people don't adhere to the physical distancing restrictions and just don't follow what they're supposed to be doing," Professor Kidd told ABC News Breakfast this morning.

"Everyone in NSW, look at the figures which are happening.

"At the moment we are still seeing community transmission occurring in NSW, and any time that could dramatically increase and we could have, in NSW, the same sort of consequences that we're seeing in Victoria. We have to all be doing everything we can to prevent that from taking place."

Yesterday it was announced that the Garry Owen Hotel in Sydney's Rozelle was fined $10,000 for what NSW Liquor and Gaming said was a "litany of COVID safety breaches", slamming the venue as "the worst pub seen so far".

Over the weekend, the Riverview Hotel and the Dry Dock Hotel, both in Balmain, Padstow Park Hotel, Padstow Bowling Club, Marrickville Ritz, the Royal Hotel in Randwick, and Yai Thai Kitchen in Gosford were also fined for breaches.

Professor Kidd said the fresh cases in New Zealand after 100 days without community transmission were a reminder that international borders can never be truly closed.

 
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Often a uptick on Wednesdays as people go to get tested after the weekend I have been informed though of course the source may not be reliable.

I do not know why your source claims that.

You can see daily test numbers and results for yourself going back to very first case on covidlive and there is no such Weds uptick, or indeed any day, on a regular basis.
 
I think its hard for residents of NSW because they are getting mixed messages, the state government appears to not really doing much but the Feds are screaming at them. It is a confusing message.

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NSW complacency a source of frustration: Deputy CMO

Venues could face closures if COVID-19 breaches continue
Federal Deputy Chief Medical Officer Michael Kidd has offered a blunt warning to NSW residents as pictures and reports emerge of people continuing to not social distance when out and about.

"People only have to look across the border into Victoria to see what happens when people don't adhere to the physical distancing restrictions and just don't follow what they're supposed to be doing," Professor Kidd told ABC News Breakfast this morning.

"Everyone in NSW, look at the figures which are happening.

"At the moment we are still seeing community transmission occurring in NSW, and any time that could dramatically increase and we could have, in NSW, the same sort of consequences that we're seeing in Victoria. We have to all be doing everything we can to prevent that from taking place."

Yesterday it was announced that the Garry Owen Hotel in Sydney's Rozelle was fined $10,000 for what NSW Liquor and Gaming said was a "litany of COVID safety breaches", slamming the venue as "the worst pub seen so far".

Over the weekend, the Riverview Hotel and the Dry Dock Hotel, both in Balmain, Padstow Park Hotel, Padstow Bowling Club, Marrickville Ritz, the Royal Hotel in Randwick, and Yai Thai Kitchen in Gosford were also fined for breaches.

Professor Kidd said the fresh cases in New Zealand after 100 days without community transmission were a reminder that international borders can never be truly closed.

While the risks are more real in NSW......more of WA is acting like there is not a care in the world.....

New data suggests West Australians are becoming less compliant with physical distancing, hand washing and other behaviours aimed at preventing the spread of coronavirus.

A national real-time tracking survey by researchers from Monash University found the proportion of West Australians who say they are "always" physical distancing in public has fallen from 61 per cent in April to 38 per cent in early July.

There's also been a drop in the proportion of people who say they are "always" thoroughly handwashing.

Lead researcher Peter Slattery says the results are likely a reflection of the low number of cases in WA.
 
Gladys and Anna BFF forever ❤

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Qld slams NSW handling of outbreak, warns of 'danger on the doorstep' and vows to keep border closed

Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk has warned of “danger on the doorstep” as almost 300 COVID-19 cases remain active in neighbouring New South Wales.

No new cases were detected in Queensland on Thursday and the state has now gone 12 days without recording any community transmission.

“As of this morning, New South Wales had 297 active cases, we have 11,” Ms Palaszczuk told state parliament on Thursday morning.

“New South Wales had 96 additional cases in the past week, they’re having to take appropriate measures.

“We wish New South Wales every success in containing the virus but Queensland isn’t taking any chances"

 
12 for NSW, and first death for almost a fortnight
 
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Growth graph of new cases till 13th Aug of Victoria.

Note that in first wave cases were mainly fuelled by returning international travellers and so much easier to slow growth. Second wave has had a much greater number of unknown community spread cases and so much harder to control growth. But stricter controls the second time around do seem to be working.

1597281040843.png

And calculated across 7 days for growth and new case numbers
1597281754469.png
 
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not a good day for NSW....daily increase lower, but death and high community transmission (unknown source)

12 cases
- 3 unknown source
- 4 known source
- 5 overseas arrival quarantine

and 1 death, females 80s from Maronite Church cluster.

edit: two venues added as phase 1, Westfield Liverpool and 5th Avenue Beauty Bar Weatherill Park.
 
not a good day for NSW....daily increase lower, but death and high community transmission (unknown source)

12 cases
- 3 unknown source
- 4 known source
- 5 overseas arrival quarantine

and 1 death, females 80s from Maronite Church cluster.

edit: two venues added as phase 1, Westfield Liverpool and 5th Avenue Beauty Bar Weatherill Park.

Though on the positive side 5 are overseas arrival quarantine and so in effect 7 new cases.
 
not a good day for NSW....daily increase lower, but death and high community transmission (unknown source)

I feel better about today's NSW numbers, because if you take out the overseas arrivals, its down to 7, and whilst 3 unknown is concerning they may yet still be able to be linked once some more tracing is done.

Auckland has 13 new community cases today, almost double Sydney.
 
NSW total community transmission since before Crossroads is 19. Ageing report not yet updated, so likely to be 12 in the last 15 days.

Confirmed cases to date
By likely source of infectionCount
Overseas
2,050​
Interstate acquired
88​
Locally acquired – contact of a confirmed case and/or in a known cluster
1,220​
Locally acquired – contact not identified
380​
Under investigation
0​
Total
3,738​
Counts reported for a particular day may vary over time with ongoing enhanced surveillance activities.
 
According the ABC " New Zealand Director-General of Health Ashley Bloomfield said as part of overall national response, "all confirmed cases are to be managed in a quarantine facility". " Taking a hard line and not trusted to ISO at home.
Probably better to put NZ in that thread.

 
I feel better about today's NSW numbers, because if you take out the overseas arrivals, its down to 7, and whilst 3 unknown is concerning they may yet still be able to be linked once some more tracing is done.

Auckland has 13 new community cases today, almost double Sydney.

At least NSW testing numbers have recovered a bit too, NSW Health were very concerned last few days testing rates have been low and probably lots of asymptomatic cases walking around yet to front up.... Gladys is begging Sydney siders to get tested, particularly in W and SW Sydney.
 
Not sure the testing criteria, but a testing blitz sought in regional Vic.

Daniel Andrews announces a testing blitz in regional Victoria
Three new test sites will be open and operation hours and staff numbers are set to be increased at the existing sites.

Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews:

"From tomorrow, we will have a regional testing push in Ballarat, Geelong and Bendigo, and there will be three additional test sites opened up to support that extra testing activity. So the three additional testing sites are Ballarat Respiratory Clinic, Geelong Cardinia Health, and Bendigo, Spring Gully Primary Health...
 
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