It could also be a retrospective allocation of cases. My LGA went up 5 cases yesterday but no change in active cases. Presumably historical cases?If my LGA has an increase in cases, but it's not listed as a high risk location, does that mean it's likely it's either a returned traveller in quarantine and with a residential address in the LGA, or someone who's not out and about, such as in aged care?
I might be wrong but I’m pretty sure it has been mentioned that to get some of these laws pushed through parliament quickly they had to be attached to the State of Emergency Act. Therefore if the SOE is lifted powers such as Social distancing laws, crowds at sporting events, pub/restaurants capacity can’t legally be enforced as it standsThe only cases SA have had in weeks are those travellers in Quarantine. Yet the Govt wants to extend emergency powers for another 6 months. Completely unwarranted. As they have shown they can act quickly during first wave then even with a next outbreak they simply can not justify allowing their ‘appointees’ to take on police powers.
If you are from Melbourne and you are looking at new daily cases for your LGA then for some time there has not been any international returned travellers in Victoria as Victoria is not currently accepting international travellers..If my LGA has an increase in cases, but it's not listed as a high risk location, does that mean it's likely it's either a returned traveller in quarantine and with a residential address in the LGA, or someone who's not out and about, such as in aged care?
Yup, and also where a lot of the current active cases are. Because of the way that aged care homes are cleared by the DHHS from the active case number that metric will come hurtling down in jumps as well (as it has been) as people recover.Cases are now few. Aged care (this includes workers as well as residents) is still one of the largest cohorts that new cases occur in (See my post just above).
I think we can now take for granted that Step 2 for Melbourne probably won’t happen early and will be announced around the review date 28 September and more than likely start after 28 September.While averages keep pushing down, including importantly for unknown cases, and progress is better than the original targetscases per day have been flattish for about a week above ten.
So one suspects with the extra relaxations in addition to those shown already in Step 2 for Melbourne that have been mooted to be announced on Sunday that with this level of cases that these extra relaxations will not include anything substantive in the way of social indoor mixing to be resumed within the week. Guests in the home, people seated indoors in cafes (or even outdoors) etc.
However one suspects that it will allow more non-social situations with low or nil mixing in public to be resumed, though perhaps not fully, including in select workforces and industries . ie Major construction which is currently at 25% might say go to a higher level of staff being able to work. Private outdoor gardeners (ie Jims Mowing etc) to be able to resume. etc More health services.
Update on Vic Graphs:
New cases per day:
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Yes Dan said early in the week that he will not make any further announcements on relaxations this week till Sunday.I think we can now take for granted that Step 2 for Melbourne probably won’t happen early
From what Dan has stated this week I think it is very liked that on Sunday when he announces Step 2 for Melbourne as scheduled, that he will also announce some additional relaxations that will commence before 26 Oct.and will be announced around the review date 28 September and more than likely start after 28 September.
Which is a great shame.
Given the current situation and that it’s unlikely that rolling averages and number of mystery cases in the preceding 14 days are unlikely to go up, the only measures that are meaningful are those for Step 3 Melbourne (ie Statewide under 5, both 14-day rolling average and number of mystery cases in the preceding 14 days.
This isn’t the first time that somebody who is acutely unwell from other issues has presented to hospital and been admitted then discovered to have coronavirus. Could be quite the coincidence... but there are probably more underlying issues.NSW 4 new cases
-3 in international quarantine
-1 mystery case announced yesterday
No indication that they did nor that they didn't. He does not say they did not though.I wasn’t aware of that so I looked around and found this. It seems a fair point.
'No indication' Ruby Princess medics source of Newmarch House outbreak
NSW Chief Health Officer Dr Kerry Chant says there is "no indication" that private medical staff who attended Newmarch House after testing the Ruby Princess crew brought the virus to the aged care facility. Two Aspen Medical staff who were involved in the testing of the embattled cruise ship later worked at the facility in Sydney’s west, where 16 residents have since died amid a coronavirus outbreak. Dr Chant said there was no issue with procedure and NSW Health understood the virus was brought into Newmarch House by the original aged care worker. “In terms of workers we have no indications that they were in any way the source of infection,” she said. “If every time a healthcare worker cared for a patient with COVID was then required to take 14 days we wouldn’t have health care workers to care for patients.”