Australian Housing Affordability Discussion

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I don't think I have a sense of entitlement but yes we have been lucky. We worked hard and paid our taxes before the due dates.
We have provided 138 bed sits under the boarding house rules in WA for less fortunate folks in Perth and surprisingly have occasionally been criticized by ignorant NIMBYs. Our latest 16 small apartments are being built now and we have a builder as a partner.
I believe in trying to make a difference from having lived in Perth for 67 years.
 
Martin place tent city people offered accom, but most don't want to move?

Both State and local governments support increasing property prices. Both tax according to property values. The more property prices go up the more money they raise. Round and round we go. Seems like a Ponzi scheme to me.
 
You may end up being correct Quickstatus.
When it crashed in Los Angeles in 2008-2010 it was a buying opportunity. Prices have returned to almost pre-crash pricing due to low interest rates.
 
Understood. Currently not looking at any further investment products other than what I already have in superannuation. I'd like to do it myself. Have been all my life and would like to think it's still possible. Bonds are a possibility. I'm not sure about securities or mutual funds. The stock market is fairly volatile and I have money invested there already and don't want to go down that path further.

What's the investment property market like in Sale?

A "good investment advisor" is a very rare commodity.

Coming from the fund management side and regularly trotted out to see the "Investment Advisory groups", or do talks at their conferences - I have come across maybe 3 or 4 that I would give time of day (unfortunately). From those dealing with High Net Worth to those at the other end - the common thread appeared to me that they were only there to 'clip the ticket'.

Too many follow-up questions were "what trailing fee does your fund ABC pay?", or "Are you going to be holding Advisor Conferences in the States?"

It was all about them and not either the nature of the funds nor how they could be a match for SOME clients.

The saying "A rising tide lifts all boats" is the one to have in your mind at all times. Leverage is a quick way to make money and equally as fast in losing everything. I knew a graduate, out of uni 2 years ahead of me. Leveraged to the hilt through 1985, 1986 and 1987. Net worth $5m+ in Sept 87, put non-refundable cash deposit of AUD$100,000 on a Ferrari in August 87.

Sold everything on October 20, 1987 and net wealth was around $15,000. By October 31 he calculated it would have been -$1,000,000 to -2,000,000 as several stocks on the Tasmanian 2nd Board had not traded since the 20th.

He tried to sell his Ferrari deposit, first for $50,000, then $40,000 etc etc. Could not get a taker for even $20.
He worked in wholesale stock broking and I in investment management.

Many stocks on the Tasmanian 2nd Board did not trade from the day before the crash to when they were eventually de-listed in late 1988. This is what started up a couple of businesses that would buy any share at a price (if permitted by the respective listing vehicle) for something like 0.01 cents per share. Only then could you claim a tax deduction as you had realised the loss.

The lack of a recession in Australia since 1989/91 has allowed many companies (listed and unlisted) the luxury of existence. There has not been (other than the rolling recession through some resource sectors) the natural cleansing cycle where the poorly managed die off to leave a more healthy choice.

The very same can be said about Investment Advisors - either at the retail or wholesale level (and fund managers).

Time and time again, I witnessed even the top advisors (dealing with CSS/PSS/Unisuper/REST/ARF/STA/CBUS etc etc) paid millions in fees - falling into the herd towards the peaks.

Long story short - cash earning 2.5% can look like a MAGNIFICIENT return when share markets are showing -20% for the one year return, even better when they show -50% in Australian Dollar terms.

I am NOT an investment advisor, and AM not telling you what to invest or not invest in but some useful rules are:


  • Write down 3 reasons why you think it is a good investment to make.
  • Only invest what you can afford to lose.
  • Only invest if it can be there for at least 3-5 years.
  • It generally never looks better than just before the peak.
  • If it is such a great idea - why are they telling you about it?
  • If they are so successful why are they still working? Humanitarians - I don't think so.
  • All the eggs in one basket can lead to much anxiety and distress.
  • Ask "What can go wrong?" NOT "What can go right"

Personally the way I ran money was to ask "What's changed?" whenever my colleagues would suggest we needed to change something. Most stopped when every time they came I got them to write down their suggestion, date it, sign it and bet $1 of their own money on it, put the time frame and what the current levels in whatever market they were talking about.

After 7 or 8 months, and I had collected about $40 dollars and paid $1 - the rate of suggestions dwindled.

That's just how I do it. My best decisions (leading to 30x and more return on investment) have been to do nothing 99.95% of the time.

Brokers and agents may not like that, and neither does the tax man/lady/person.

A few times, in the interests of research, I have taken up the offers for a free consultation. Time may be moving on but the quality does not appear to be.
 
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When I can buy an ocean views 3 or 4 bedroom house built post 2000 on Hawaii for AUD $700,000 or so, on half an acre, sealed roads etc etc rent it out for 4.5-6% net on long term lease with a vacancy rate around 2-3% and unemployment below 3% - why look at regional Australia or a capital city?

Or this one.

Hawaii example.jpg
Sometimes it can be really inconvenient to be going away for a month.
 
Definitely only interested in property. But where is the big question?

Brisbane suburbs? $230,000 investment rented for $330/week. May not be negatively geared but factor in 30% expenses and then a further 40% income tax and that leaves around $6000/year which is a net 2.5% return on investment with a chance of future capital gain. And income will increase in retirement as there will be less tax to pay.

Also could be worth buying another investment and use the first as collateral and fully negative gear.

Need to discuss with accountant.
 
Just saw where Herron Todd White say Sydney real estate has passed its peak and they are saying the Melbourne market is at midnight on their chart. Once both these markets stop rising the Reserve Bank may be a bit more comfortable with bank lending for home mortgages.
 
Just saw where Herron Todd White say Sydney real estate has passed its peak and they are saying the Melbourne market is at midnight on their chart. Once both these markets stop rising the Reserve Bank may be a bit more comfortable with bank lending for home mortgages.

One rogue bidder and the price keeps escalating. There's always one more international "investor" squillionaire willing to stump up ridiculous offers because they can on prime location property on Sydney harbour. (Think San Fran, London, New York, Hong Kong ....)

middle-level housing would be expected to hit the wall (flat-line) because of a diminishing pool of domestic investor and owner-occupier buyers (run out of access to cash) think tightening of investor loan eligibility.

I hear polygamy is good option for creating new income sources. Or being over 55 and buying village housing at Neutral Bay
https://mountgileadestate.com.au/?gclid=CKK45aeUxdUCFVZ_vQodaXMLYQ

https://www.downsizing.com.au/sale/

https://www.realestate.com.au/project/bougainvillea-the-bay-club-resort-neutral-bay-600012282
 
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What's the investment property market like in Sale?
Poor though I'm not sure why you ask.

There is a major federal government investment starting to occur in the area so that is all starting to change though. If you have spare cash it's probably a good time to buy here.
 
Definitely only interested in property. But where is the big question?

Brisbane suburbs? $230,000 investment rented for $330/week. May not be negatively geared but factor in 30% expenses and then a further 40% income tax and that leaves around $6000/year which is a net 2.5% return on investment with a chance of future capital gain. And income will increase in retirement as there will be less tax to pay.

Also could be worth buying another investment and use the first as collateral and fully negative gear.

Need to discuss with accountant.

Not really answering your question, but are you indifferent to how and when you get a return on investment? e.g. if the outcome was a $50k ROI, would you care if that came in the form of capital gains or positive yield?
 
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Not really answering your question, but are you indifferent to how and when you get a return on investment? e.g. if the outcome was a $50k ROI, would you care if that came in the form of capital gains or positive yield?
Either would be acceptable but I don't want to take too high a risk.
 
Either would be acceptable but I don't want to take too high a risk.

Anyone can be wrong about making an investment.

If you cannot afford to lose a significant proportion of any investment (either through the stress of worrying about losing money or the financial consequences) then think VERY carefully.

In the late 1980s thousands of people saw the advertising everywhere (on buses, billboards, TV etc etc) for Estate Mortgage.

"High returns, nice and safe"

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May 20, 2001 - November 1993, former managing director of Estate Mortgage Ltd Richard Lew .... 10 August 1998 – Robert David Lavigne: bankrupt Sydney ...




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Poor though I'm not sure why you ask.

There is a major federal government investment starting to occur in the area so that is all starting to change though. If you have spare cash it's probably a good time to buy here.
I'm asking as I'm looking for realistic investments away from the major cities as property is overpriced. I've been looking at Coffs Harbour, Tamworth, Casino etc but without actually visiting the area it's difficult to gauge the type of market in those areas.
 
It now feels like the market peaked and the clearance rates of property auctions have dropped to about 69% in Sydney. China is blocking money leaving their country so that should slow that buying source.
 
My Instagram thinks Im in Indonesia for some reason and yesterday I started seeing Australia Property Expo ads in Jakarta.

Do we have a high populations of Indos investing in the aussie market?
 
I'm looking forward to the big housing crash and the foreclosures starting so I can partake in the fire sale.
 
My Instagram thinks Im in Indonesia for some reason and yesterday I started seeing Australia Property Expo ads in Jakarta.

Do we have a high populations of Indos investing in the aussie market?

From what I have read, is the companies target most Asian countries including China, Thailand, India, Sri Lanka, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Indonesia etc... Even Germany lately.
 
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