Airfares to US to drop?

[MelbFlyer]

Unless numbers are down by 30-40% or around that figure, I think a 10% fall in passenger numbers isn't a big impact.

For me personally, I'd still go to the U.S. - Trump or not. I went in 2019 during Trump 1.0, but yes, that was a different "era".

The only thing holding me back is finding business reward seats and time off that aligns. Our weak exchange rate doesn't help either.

Even looking at economy seats via QF for a random 2 week period in October - a return flight from MEL to LAX is still >$2k for economy.

 

[jyg]

Unless numbers are down by 30-40% or around that figure, I think a 10% fall in passenger numbers isn't a big impact.

For me personally, I'd still go to the U.S. - Trump or not. I went in 2019 during Trump 1.0, but yes, that was a different "era".

The only thing holding me back is finding business reward seats and time off that aligns. Our weak exchange rate doesn't help either.

Even looking at economy seats via QF for a random 2 week period in October - a return flight from MEL to LAX is still >$2k for economy.

Try connecting via Fiji, I got ADL-NAN-DFW for 1800 return in a peak holiday season (December)

 

[RSD]

QF11 Y is 70% full today according to a mate who is on the flight.

 

[elanshin]

Unless numbers are down by 30-40% or around that figure, I think a 10% fall in passenger numbers isn't a big impact.

For me personally, I'd still go to the U.S. - Trump or not. I went in 2019 during Trump 1.0, but yes, that was a different "era".

The only thing holding me back is finding business reward seats and time off that aligns. Our weak exchange rate doesn't help either.

Even looking at economy seats via QF for a random 2 week period in October - a return flight from MEL to LAX is still >$2k for economy.

March I suspect was already locked in a while ago.

The real data will be the Jul - Sep sector for the summer holidays. All travel related sectors are saying it'll be down, but just how much is the question now.

 

[clifford]

Well, I just hope that everyone that goes (and maybe benefits from lower fares) enjoys their trip and isn't subject to hassles emanating from POTUS's xenophobic rants. And, it looks like airfares from Europe to the US are down (but, hey, this is Australia, and we'll pay the higher fares come what may....)

https://www.independent.co.uk/travel/news-and-advice/trump-100-days-tourism-canada-mexico-us-b2742080.html

 

[Himeno]

Unless numbers are down by 30-40% or around that figure, I think a 10% fall in passenger numbers isn't a big impact.

For me personally, I'd still go to the U.S. - Trump or not. I went in 2019 during Trump 1.0, but yes, that was a different "era".

The only thing holding me back is finding business reward seats and time off that aligns. Our weak exchange rate doesn't help either.

Even looking at economy seats via QF for a random 2 week period in October - a return flight from MEL to LAX is still >$2k for economy.

The majority of trips taken until June would likely have been booked late last year. Most of the reports thus far have been about forward bookings, not current arrivals.
The drops in arrivals for Feb/Mar are from people who would have booked shorter trips at a later date and from trips that were able to be cancelled.
It will be the 2nd half of this year when the impact of the Trump policies enacted in Feb and March start to be felt in arrivals numbers.