Middle East Airspace Diversions/Cancellations

[SYD]

It's not a silly scenario, more like a sensible scenario considering the head case politicians that are involved in conflict. If the strait of Hormuz is still closed this time next month I can almost guarantee leisure aviation will be heavily impacted.

So LCCs will stop but full service airlines with Biz travellers will soldier on?

In reality, any airlines that don’t bounce through the sand pits will be cashing in.

 

[Quickstatus]

Situation looks identical.

Including the accounting of reserves/holdings includes tankers in transit rather than just landed fuel which seems on one level at least to be a bit disingenuous.

 

[MELso]

Including the accounting of reserves/holdings includes tankers in transit rather than just landed fuel which seems on one level at least to be a bit disingenuous.

Yup - this site I stumbled across on Twitter suggests there's only about 19 days of jet fuel left (it's very doomscrolly I hasten to add).

(Still, the Donald has just announced he's postponing bombing Iranian energy infrastructure which has caused the oil price to drop.)

 

[Quickstatus]

Still, the Donald has just announced

Apparently they are talking to one another

 

[Saab34]

Crude now below $100. Crazy fluctuations based on words from his mouth alone.

 

[Quickstatus]

Apparently the Iranians are now denying ever having any contact.

 

[Saab34]

Apparently the Iranians are now denying ever having any contact.

lol. Crude will now jump 10-15%!

 

[Pushka]

Apparently they are talking to one another

View attachment 501461

So pleased to read this just now. Wishin' and prayin'. Maybe just finding a graceful exit.

 

[elanshin]

So pleased to read this just now. Wishin' and prayin'. Maybe just finding a graceful exit.

Highly unlikely at this point.

From Iranian POV - you have Trump who has now attacked twice during negotiations so theres no trust on anything he says. Then you have Israel whos hellbent on destroying you despite what the US want- if left unchecked Israel will strike at all the Iranian oil and gas infrastructure.

And if Iran doesn't come to the table, you're not going to have a "graceful" exit and theres little reason for them to. They're not really caring about their citizens - the regime recently slaughtered tens of thousands of protesters. They're also fighting for the regimes survival.


So despite what Trump will do and say in the white house, it's going to be a while before its over.