Is there anyone else on here experiencing anything similar on their Q400 travels of late?
For context, is "of late" measured in days/weeks/months or previous year?
I mostly do Dash-8 on one route, which is WTB-SYD (or return). I generally prefer 2A with hope of an empty seat, so that I can put stuff under the seat in front of me and still have room.
Like you I find joy in a forward seat with nobody next to me... because then I can work. And Dash-8 seats facilitate work, because the person in front can't recline into me.
Three things I have learned about seating:
* because there's no preallocation opportunity, I can't tell the system where I'd like to be.
* it's not possible to see seat allocation until t-24, and sometimes the map that comes up at checkin-is-now-open time doesn't relate well to advance loadings shown by (eg) Expertflyer, and
* the airport staff at WTB do load balancing starting from T-72. Truly, I would never ever play the DYKWIA card, but I travel enough that the airport staff know me by name. Consequently I do often find myself in the preferred seat.
Like you I've tried playing checkin tetris with seats, and tried not playing checkin tetris with seats, and my experience is that both options lead to similar outcome because it seems to be a complete coughshoot until the door closes. Sometimes the crew say "of course" to a move and sometimes they play draconian. I've given up trying to fathom the rules, because I think there aren't any and that weight balancing takes no account of status or preference. Occasionally I'm helpfully given an exit row., and I've learned to suck it up rather than try to change anything or second-guess and force a move. And anything is better than being next to the prop.
To be fair, it's hard to argue with someone whose answer is "weight balancing". They're probably right.
Later this year I get to try SYD/ABX and I'll find out if it's any different on that route.