justinbrett
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- Mar 6, 2006
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What once was a very popular destination last decade has certainly fallen off a cliff. Some of those loads are pretty poor looking at other months also.
It’s become a very pricey destination now, with all the extra low cost capacity from Australia into Bali, Pacific and Asia, it seems like the traffic has moved elsewhere.
QF are saying the loads on SYD/HNL remain strong.
IMO once HA becomes AS it will help the route as it becomes a viable connection hub. For example flying to LAS, AS has terminated LAX/LAS so there’s only 3x daily flights on AA, making connections to QF difficult. There will actually be more oneworld seats on LAS/HNL than LAS/LAX which is crazy.
Still a reduction in capacity overall, I wonder if HA service will remain as is, load factors look pretty rubbish, circa 50%.
The tricky part is ACCC won’t let AS into the QF/AA JV. It might be smarter for them to axe SYD, codeshare on QF and focus on US domestic connections. Or perhaps resume BNE with both routes codesharing on the other.
I believe SYD-HNL will drop back to 6x weekly from May 2026. The daily service is temporary.
I’ve only seen the ET article - strange if they feel they have enough pax to make daily necessary for April, why isn’t that ongoing? I’ve certainly had a few schedule changes over the years that made me choose +/- 1 day.
