Does anyone think Qantas will get the smaller A320NEO in the coming years?

[Lucass]

With Qantas having ordered 28 A321XLRs and 29 A220-300s does anyone think QF will order the standard A320NEO (like Jetstar has) or will it likely just be the A220 and A321XLR?

 

[Saab34]

I’d imagine Airbus isn’t as flexible trading down vs trading up, in terms of current orders. I think we will find in the longer run the subsidiaries like National Jet Systems who operate the A220 will take over a large chunk of the domestic work while the A321 picks up more work internationally which would offset the loss in A321 or ‘old 737 work’, to the A220. The A321 will still operate the majority of the work across domestic, but not as much as today.

A320Neo would probably only be a gain of 10-15 seats over a A220. Plus these subsidiaries have much lower wages which seems to be the most important thing.

Seems to be like the A321 will operate a whole bunch of the peak work while 220 the off peak and thinner/remote/regional work.

Be interesting to see where Alliance fits into the picture over the longer run. Taking on 20 year old E190s isn’t really a long term game, what happens in a decade when they need to phase them out?

 

[elanshin]

I think we can safely assume QF will not be looking at the 320N. JQ perhaps might pick up more. QF if anything might pick up 321Ns.

If QF were actually going to use it, they would've ordered it with the 321XLR orders and already have them rolling in. I think ideally they would want a brand new clean slate narrowbody that should be the next aircrafts to be conceived, but we wouldn't know the timings of such a plane.

 

[Himeno]

I’d imagine Airbus isn’t as flexible trading down vs trading up, in terms of current orders. I think we will find in the longer run the subsidiaries like National Jet Systems who operate the A220 will take over a large chunk of the domestic work while the A321 picks up more work internationally which would offset the loss in A321 or ‘old 737 work’, to the A220. The A321 will still operate the majority of the work across domestic, but not as much as today.

A320Neo would probably only be a gain of 10-15 seats over a A220. Plus these subsidiaries have much lower wages which seems to be the most important thing.

The CSeries was designed to allow for another stretch with a 500 model. Airbus is reportedly going to work on getting the A220-500 out once the A220 production line has been sorted out and the production rate increased. A A220-500 would be in the 150-180 seat range.

Qantas may be waiting to see if the 220-500 gets announced before thinking of getting any of the smaller A320 family members.