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  1. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Some really interesting non vaccine treatments revisited. Dr Bean also has some lengthy analysis of Israel numbers. It is far to early to tell, but it looks like a 3rd booster dose slashes the fully vaccinated from becoming asymptotic spreaders which is as good as it gets - so WA had better...
  2. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    This is really lethal news, and good if it frees up some spaces. I understand they are overcrowded, and like medi-hotels were not designed with good safe ventilation. Instead enhanced air movement so tear gas can get into every nook and cranny. With full capacity - they cant play musical...
  3. ethernet

    Australia to Reduce Incoming Int. Passenger Capacity from July 2021

    Does it seem off that Qantas announces flights before incoming quarantine arrangements are known? Surely flights only start up once the Aussies who need to get home, actually get home. We already see significant traveler breakthrough numbers, that will probably exceed any number. The Israel...
  4. ethernet

    Predictions of when international flights may resume/bans lifted

    Scomo and treasury are aware elimination has failed. A pre-christmas lockdown will not go over well. I expect Qld and WA will have shields up, and more excuses to say no. NSW wants a backup plan to say Yes. BTW NSW and VIC did an outstanding job in denting the upward projectory, but the...
  5. ethernet

    Australian state border restrictions

    Risk Score. Presently you need to apply for permits. There is no transparency how yes/no's are calculated. By design. Risk will be calculated differently if relief payments trimmed are based relative performance. Let State premiers explain collective outcomes.
  6. ethernet

    Australian state border restrictions

    However there is no vaccine target. Is that two jabs and 4 weeks after the 2nd? Is it open, unless we have more than 50 cases day? Then have to close up again. Or sorry, snap lockdown into your holiday. Or WA - sorry, cant travel more than 200Km or so. The Cwth has hinted as payment or support...
  7. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Not happy with the drip feed news releases, nor WA unilaterally hinting they will stay closed and require a full vaccination passport chop. Someone will not be happy about critical hospital staff being furloughed in quarantine either. ACT being very sensible about wanting a definition about...
  8. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Yay! Common sense, this is what I had said all along - for BOTH vaccines. But it is also your responsibility to be proactive when you hear it on the news OR you have a procedure or operation coming up. or a family member returning from the knife and fork job shop. I don't trust certain hospitals...
  9. ethernet

    Australian state border restrictions

    ACT mail madnesss. Did you know Australia Post returns or destroys parcels if you do not pick them up in 10 working days? You also have to pay for mail redirection or holds. I am stuck in NSW a town just outside Binalong(part of the bordertowns listed) so to check/collect my mail and turn off...
  10. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    80% is a decoy number, a nudge. The determinant will be real world ICU/Hospital breaking points. Iceland got up to 93% and is having breakthrough infections. UK is going up, but if you count prior infections, 90% is not too far from the mark. Plus compliance for a round three shot will be...
  11. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Yes, Dr John C does have timely soundbites that are on the mark. And that real world effectiveness between AZ and PF are closer at the 8 month mark, leading to I guess is wait 9 months to get a booster as the Israel numbers pan out. Given the Sydney situation, short timeframes between doses are...
  12. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    I am saying if Covid cases fill/exceed hospital capacity, especially if there is a surge event, where life/death triage decisions must be made - is politically poisonous. Not like we have a surplus of ICU beds and neg pressure zones, let alone infection escapes. Over 70 yo deaths can be...
  13. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    I find nearly all doctors really smart, and difficult to fool. They ask who what where when and how. They look at feedback loops. The spin merchants the politicians employ, direct daily conferences to maximally dilute ill feelings. And hey, its working. I get angry at PS bashing. People do not...
  14. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    T This is greedy selfish thinking. Mid-November is the latest possible date, otherwise the Christmas silly season, and the explosive waste of money will have ruinous consequences. Think smarter. Arrival rate of covid infections into hospital, departure of treated noninfectious patients...
  15. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Bear a thought for China. Delta is a gamechanger, and they got 10/10 for getting a handbrake on it- pre-delta. However this can go bad, very quickly, and being economical with the truth is ruinous. I think Icelands 93% vaccinated is the answer. My analysis on NSW is poor. Gladys said more...
  16. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Drron was always pitching AZ as fine. Not out fault if ATAGI can't read or won't accept real world evidence, real time. I took az because I knew the distribution chain would break when the virus escaped, with a hotel leak every 11 days and no root-causes found. Zero mercaptin studies? Can't get...
  17. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Look, you gotta do what you gotta do. In Syd, the 3 week thingy and 'pushing' AZ where the work 'pushing' is the same terminology used for pushing wine, so it seems more aged/rounded without aging. But where there is no breakout, like in WA rural and some NSW rural you can delay a bit. I get...
  18. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Ok, I hear NSW wants to relax things at 50% vaccinated. In a previous timely post I though it would be 70%, because in the UK's case, that was borderline compromise. But I was wrong. I also suggest the magic number for Delta is north of 80%. Lots of chatter on modelling provided by the Doherty...
  19. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Some guy who did his PhD on which Australian hospitals were the worst, infections , bad outcomes, rectification work, was suppressed. However the health funds know, but won't tell. But bigger is better in a 'Rich' location is a good indicator.
  20. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    The answer is because 'Greencard Vaccinated perks card' was politically unacceptable, while there was not enough vaccine for younger age groups , and that could hurt at a future election. Yes, collective punishment for those in the right.
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