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  1. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    I have forgotten the History behind AZ having its booster shot timeframe extended, but believe the Brits started it when OR determined this saves lives. I am sure Canada is using numbers from elsewhere in addition to the run out. One aspect of the vaccination rollout is that it takes roughly 3...
  2. ethernet

    The COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Australia has begun

    Project management peoples! 50 million needles and 50/6 mill glass vials are needed. Also in the 'off' season, something else made, say for Ross River of Dengue.
  3. ethernet

    The COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Australia has begun

    I am greatly disturbed when Australia does not immediately follow the lead of Canada and others. Vaccine makers have tight adgenda, and will stick to the known, and downplay external factors. I think I have read the sweet spot for pz is 6-8 weeks. 3 weeks in hot zones I accept as a necessity...
  4. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    More OR fun and logarithmic progressions since I scribbled an estimate when NSW would loose elimination and seek containment and a delaying action as vaccine arrivals begin to ramp up. 134 days until Christmas. Or say 19 weeks. Lets assume the cost is 1.5 Billion per week, and we still have...
  5. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    The acid test is when the PM gets a yet-to-be-approved booster dose before everyone else. Notably there has been zero discussion on quarantine free arrival.
  6. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Great news. But the UK is mostly AZ, and many vaccinated long before Delta took up shop. Read about Pfizer: Israel says Pfizer Covid vaccine is just 39% effective as delta spreads, but still prevents severe illness Now if Australia uses lots of Pfizer, spaced only 3 weeks apart - Canada has a...
  7. ethernet

    Predictions of when international flights may resume/bans lifted

    It is clear that the PM's team are poorly advised and not doing Operational research for optimal outcomes, including the re-election one Replace short treasury busting lockdowns with sustained ultra costly lockdowns, including the Christmas/New Year shopping/festivities. That outcome is almost...
  8. ethernet

    Predictions of when international flights may resume/bans lifted

    TRAVEL PREDICTIONS JUST GOT A WHOLE LOT WORSE I read somewhere(Gladys?), that when we hit 80% vaccinations, lock-downs will be less likely. There are also nondeterministic qualifiers like states have agreed 'in principle' sprinkled in. I think AFF people can guess what WA and Vic might do. UK...
  9. ethernet

    Predictions of when international flights may resume/bans lifted

    Why assume silly?. There are professional advisors who are experts in influencing people. In the US , and they determined it had a benefit, and was effective. But you are correct about the FOMO effect, or fear of loosing money, like a Medicare surcharge on the unvaccinated, or death duties on...
  10. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Ok, I hit the jackpot predicting the NSW lockdown weeks in advance. Now builders/subbies got a strike. If it hits 256 day cases, it will probably be TWO months. If the protest gets off, +8 days to see numbers,so about 2 weeks from today, will prove what the Victorian is going off about, even if...
  11. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    I prefer honesty. AZ WAS past tense, looked to most, an inferior vaccine, with a slower to 'fully vaccinated' pathway. Delta is a game changer, and they are now neck and neck I would even say Pifzer is inferior, if the booster date is not delayed, where Delta is the 98% predominant strain. Most...
  12. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Sydney will be locked down all of August, almost certainly. It is so cruel seeing the sheeple drip fed with news. Delta is nasty, and has a high rate of breakthrough infections, even if fully vaccinated. The limp and unsatisfactory nailing of protestors, mean scofflaws abound. I hope police use...
  13. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Drron will like this, and other posts by John Campbell comparing UK Vs USA. It seems AZ is superior to Pfizer where Delta is the predominant strain, with qualifications. Again, with Delta, it is important to space the doses wider apart 8-12 weeks. For both vaccines. (Israel did not(3 weeks?, but...
  14. ethernet

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Testing bias is strong in non English speaking communities. But what if testing here is low in the people who should be getting tested. Positive means no work, no income for many. What if compliance for testing is low. True new rules and not seeing exponential growth is pleasing.. but delta is a...
  15. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Fresh News: Dr Mobeen Peer reviewed AZ Blood Clotting cause on PF4. It seems credible, and means Heparin might be used, meaning a re-write of procedures. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/07/1-in-3-covid-survivors-suffer-neurological-or-mental-disorders-study.html There are some fringe sites...
  16. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    News: How effective are coronavirus vaccines against the Delta variant? Previously I asked how effective were the vaccines compared with Delta, as MLM had very low numbers. I suggest Israel sends a message that Pfizer at 64% against delta (flawed study?) is going to be awful news for would be...
  17. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    I will not be liked for reporting that others in other countries are rubbing 1% Ivermectin into fatty arms /Thighs topically with an antihistamine who report this is positive on the brain fog of long covid. However the below debunks this from the neck up. There are other wild excursions...
  18. ethernet

    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    These numbers appear LOW for AZ, is there a source? I beat the PM in predicting the need to move AZ stocks out of the fridge. I did not know about the October phaseout. At least the decision is easy for those in LGA redspots, and suggest they will grow AZ demand on the assumption that children...
  19. ethernet

    The COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Australia has begun

    The number is a negligible, relative to the number of shots wasted, because uncaring souls do not have a stand-by list. Or is it because it is preferable to waste, than get into trouble for giving to random bystanders? A headline like 100,000 Pfizer shots tipped down the sink would be better.
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