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But it does matter what the actual cause of the delay was.

It was 51.8 million in 2024. Something you're missing is that classic rewards isn't just reward seats but also includes upgrades. A big chunk of those classic rewards are redeemed as upgrades many of which are only confirmed in the last 24 hours. Yes, capacity is an issue. If they simply make...

More than half would be a big over estimation, but the general argument is spot-on. Average cost per point is about 1.27 cents in FY24. We can estimate this from revenue divided by points earned ($2.573 billion divided by 202 billion). But cost per point varies significantly based on quantity...

Your experience may be such, yet 1.2 million more members signed up in the last year and earned 27 billion more miles. They've obviously found reasons to do that, which may include 16 billion more miles redeemed. This during a period when QF's reputation has been pretty cough. The reality is...

What difference does it make? You can earn points on non-QF activities, whether those be partner airlines or non-airline partners, so if we only look at a narrow range of redemptions should you then consider that against a narrow range of earnings? If points are fungible in earning they are...

But these anecdotes aren't supported by data. The number of points redeemed annually has increased by 10% in the last year and 27% since 2019. The number of members has increased similarly.

Literally the data in post 111 shows an increase in redemptions of 16 billion points in 2024 alone, 46 billion per year since 2019. Given the wide range in pricing of rewards, 5 million may be a significant understatement.

To add fuel to the fire, some analysis using data from Qantas on earning and membership. Is QFF just too successful? https://www.analyticflying.com/p/chart-of-the-week-18-whats-behind

To add fuel to the fire, some analysis using data from Qantas on earning and membership. Is QFF just too successful? https://www.analyticflying.com/p/chart-of-the-week-18-whats-behind

Just reflecting on this separately. Suppose this isn't a Qantas problem as much as it's an Australia problem. There are two parts to it though: skills and capability, and volume. Qantas certainly don't have a shortage of skills and capability. D-checks aren't inherently the highest skill and...

So here's the economics, since I don't think most of us appreciate what it involves or costs. A380 has a 12 year cycle. Line maintenance checks (A & B checks) occur continuously on the flight line. Most is actually done at LAX since this is where the aircraft has the most downtime given the...

Please explain the economics of A380 D-checks in Australia. For a 50,000 man hour 12 year D-check ...

FWIW, Qantas have returned 9 of 10 (or 12 if you include the retired birds). Lufthansa: 7 of 8 (or 14). EK have 22x A380s parked ... BA and Qatar got lucky as their fleet is younger and hasn't come through their 2nd D-checks yet, but they're coming. That's going to be be carnage, especially for...

Firstly, they aren't any just sitting in the desert. For some reason people have this idea that the aircraft that have been going to AUH for maintenance have been there the whole time. OQL, the aircraft in question returned to service from storage in March 2023 and operated on revenue services...

Easy to under appreciate how important scale is in contemporary MRO work, and sometimes fleet specific. A huge chunk of A380 heavy maintenance is being done at a handful of spots globally, AUH, MNL, DRS, XMN, etc. Even KE, who have a massive MRO business themselves, are sending their A380s to...

D-check, wing spar checks plus refurbishment. A380 D-check alone are taking 5 to 6 months.

The hint from Qantas is that the first three will be coming with 200 seats and the remaining with 197. They're removing one row in economy on one side only, hint hint ... Suspect that they've had a change of plan and installing an extra lav. The first 3 will likely be retrofitted later.

Not quite sure what point you're making? The Safron Unity and Vue have the same seat but applied in different units and patterns. This is the same Thompson Vantage. Thompson Vantage could be applied in front facing and reverse herringbone. Single aisle can do both but if need reserve herringbone...

It's kinda a moot point. One of the few things Qantas have done well in recent years is ensure consistency of the premium seat across the fleet. While there are some aircraft specific idiosyncrasies and some slight variation based on the exact timing of the installations, they use the Thompson...

Sure, plans can change, but the B738s are being replaced. There are 75 of them and the timing of their retirements is dictated by their 4th D-check. The first of these is going to become due late 2025. There are 33 in this tranche with the last due for it's 4th D-check in 2029. There is simply...