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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    They can upgrade 24 hours before and do, but they generally hold seats back and upgrade on boarding if available. When I was in the US, we had explicit algorithms to limit complementary upgrades based on anticipated positive space. While this is ostensibly available for sale (often full fare)...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    For sure, and this is an area where Qantas really let themselves down (similar to some European carriers). Compared to the US where airlines have invested a lot in technology to allow pax to have greater control and transparency makes their handling of IROPS quite a bit better. What's probably...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    Has nothing to do with this. A slot is a slot. If QF or VA flew a bigger gauge on SYD-MEL they'd use the slots elsewhere. They're not suddenly going to give up those slots. And even if they did, another airline would seek to use them. It's a slot constrained airport and so is the system. Demand...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    The system was entirely designed and framed for denied boarding. If you read the text of EU261 it even states this. The challenge is that the bureaucracy is always too slow to adapt and reform. While the EU is probably even slower than Australia, the airlines will always be far more adaptable in...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    Today's ATFM: perfect conditions in SYD, full staffing, no limitations on AAR ... sounds good, right? Wrong, MEL spending morning with reduced AAR due to IMC conditions. BNE reduced AAR due to ILS on 19L still being down. So even when SYD is in perfect operating conditions, it'll still result in...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    Nobody is giving up any SYD slots to move to WSI. Anything to/from WSI will be additional, although this will certainly increase overall capacity which is great. Maybe the odd international carrier (maybe a long haul LCC or one from the Pacific), but none of the local players.
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    Broadly agree. My one concern with many people wanting these sorts of solutions is that most advocates for them don't acknowledge the externalities and focus on the compensation rather than design. The original purpose of EU261 was less about cancellations and delays and more about denied...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    We both knew what we were doing ;) It's been an ongoing debate. Ultimately, the whole slot system is defined by legislation. There is little that anyone can do without a legislative reform. This process has been going on for several years, but stuck in the typical bureaucracy of reports...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    Agreed. I've taken then and found them to be just fine. But it also explains why they make such a big deal about their OTP. They know they're going to win, purely from a structural perspective. But it'll change as they grow and they will start to find it affecting them more.
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    The irony of it all is that the authorities and airports are putting pressure on airlines to use the slots and place significant constraints on their ability to manage them, especially when the system is under pressure. The effect is limiting the flexibility of airlines to be more proactive in...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    As abstract as this sounds, airlines with fewer flights get affected the least. It'll always be the large slot holders that get affected the most or first.
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    It's a confluence of things really, without any short term solutions and devoid of political leadership. Air Services Australia are significantly short of controllers due to training delays during and early retirements during COVID. They also slowed down international recruitment during COVID...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    I see it somewhat differently. Delaying 180 pax for 4 hours each, or 360 pax for 2.5 hours each? I think delaying more people for a little less is probably worse, but that is very subjective. You're correct on the arrival time, but the majority of pax in Australia or Europe are single trip short...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    Slots must be utilised in order to be "returned" (the term used when you retain the slot in the next season). If they cancel before the ATFM flow rate reduction it counts as the service not being operated for the purposes of slot utilisation. Once they receive ATFM flow rate reduction and a...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    So tomorrow's ATFM is out. Perfect weather in SYD expected, yet due to staffing issues inbound flow rate will be a max of 38 per hour. So even in the best blocks, they'll have to cut 2 arrivals per hour. This is small, so they may be able to counter with cascading delays to allow some of the...
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    Qatar denied extra capacity into Australia

    My point was simply that until it is a treaty is has limited enforcement mechanisms internationally and that Australia would have little difficulty withdrawing. I have no doubt that they will not withdraw since it does not serve Australia's national interest. While they may have fundamental...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    Conceptually it could, but it might be dependent on the scale of the reduction in flow. If QF or VA get told to reduce one movement an hour, then it's inevitable that it's a SYD-MEL or MEL-SYD that gets cancelled and conceptually it shouldn't be challenging to reaccomodate people sooner given...
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    Bizarrely, no, they don't. The airport themselves have absolutely no part in the slot management and ATFM process. In fact, they have far less knowledge and access than the airlines. It's the whole point of the process that creates a Chinese wall between the airports and the airlines with...
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    Qatar denied extra capacity into Australia

    Go search the DFAT treaty database, or the Australian Treaties Library or the Joint Standing Committee on Treaties for treaties with Qatar and see what comes up ... I'll eat my words when you can share a screenshot showing a treaty with Qatar with respect to air services!
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    Qantas Systematic Cancellation of Flights

    Do you review the daily ATFM plan (technically there are several per day, but they call it daily) and the monthly operational reports? Are you a user of Harmony? My guess is that you don't even know what it is. The daily ATFM plan and monthly operational reports are public. You can look at them...
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