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You might need to study maths a little more. Or at least think about the timeframes involved. What are you trying to compare? Even a 1 in 500 chance of "youngsters" dying sounds high to me if they happen to be my youngster. And I'm pretty sure you don't have a 1 in 500 chance of getting in a...

Meanwhile in pretend bubble candidate Japan, a new record of 2,195 new infections so far today, including 493 in Tokyo, 273 in Osaka, 226 in Kanagawa, and 233 in Hokkaido. Positivity rate running at 5.7% in Tokyo, higher elsewhere.

Yep. Just cancelled my trip to Tassie for next month. People being dragged off bushwalks into hotel quarantine was the last straw.

And with a vaccine? We'll still have to manage the virus and the vulnerable.

Right, it's almost been 24 hours. TELL US TELL US TELL US TELL US Or maybe just keep addressing the problem at hand. Better that they've already found 17 cases than not.

Record high for Japan today as of 18:30. 1,635 new cases, including 393 in Tokyo, 231 in Osaka, 147 in Kanagawa, 143 in Aichi, and 236 in Hokkaido.

It doesn't work like that. Say 82 of the 164 had taken the vaccine and 82 the placebo. That's 0% efficacy (completely useless), not 50%.

Japan bubble watch: 782 new cases across 37 of Japan's 47 prefectures yesterday (generally the slowest day of the week) including 200 in Hokkaido, 157 in Tokyo, and 78 in Osaka. We won't be in any sort of bubble with them any time soon.

Do you have any source for this claim?

They do, but people really need to start thinking for themselves a little more, too. It’s stunning that people who are so engaged with the issue can be so repeatedly sucked in by lazy or manipulative reporting.

If you don’t want to get vaccinated, then while you might be allowed to leave, you won’t be permitted to travel in anything like normal fashion by Christmas 2021, let alone Easter.

Yep, I’ll go with Vergin’.

Given all the massive uncertainties, how sensible would it be to compile a budget premised on anything sooner?

Our working template is based on what the UK has been saying: people over 50 focusing on health workers and care home workers and the vulnerable Older adults in care homes and care home workers would be in the first group, followed by those aged over 80, over 75, over 70 and over 65. A sixth...

That’s pretty much it as far as every scenario I’ve seen that’s being workshopped or war gamed or whatever. The consensus being that those who don’t want to be vaccinated (or “vaccined” as one of Australia’s key policy makers unfortunately keeps saying) “can just wait.” I don’t disagree.

Just a standard online booking.

You've said before that you don't intend to take the vaccine. Do you expect to be allowed to travel regardless?

Still, average tests of 26,700 per day over the past week is decent, even including the dormitories. MOH | Updates on COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019) Local Situation Japan’s been doing under 20,000 with a somewhat larger population.

https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2020-10-11/australia-in-talks-with-japan-south-korea-on-reopening-travel Not really sure why Japan even warrants a mention... bubbling away at around 500 cases a day, testing rate pitiful... Australia’s strategy would have to...

J Saver is wide open SYD-SIN-NRT for September 2021 and reasonable for SYD-SIN-HND. I've also booked two different days in F Saver in the past couple of weeks.