Predictions of when international flights may resume/bans lifted

[Himeno]

I would suggest that would be to selective destinations only.
Eventually we will see testing before allowed to enter Australia, but I think October is not a forseeable future, as a vaccine will be available by then, according to Oxford University.

No, a vaccine for SARS-CoV-2 will not be ready in October.
Oxford University is saying that they started (on April 23) phase 1 trials of the vaccine they have developed and are recreating for phase 2 volunteers.
If the phase 2 trials go to plan, they can start phase 3 in October.

There are 115 SARS-CoV-2 vaccines under development. 39 are in, or are about to start, human trials. At least 5 are currently in phase 2 trials. They need to pass phase 3 trials before there is a chance of a vaccine getting approved.
In the best case scenario, we won't get a vaccine until at least next March.

 

[DC3]

“ ....There's nothing on our radar which would see us opening up international travel in the foreseeable future."

forseeable future = a long time?

 

[p--and--t]

“ ....There's nothing on our radar which would see us opening up international travel in the foreseeable future."

forseeable future = a long time?

Except he is already talking to NZ

Probably best politically not to create any unreal expectations of open slather and then over deliver with a surprise of a small concession of one or two countries.

 

[kelvedon]

forseeable future = a long time?

Hopefully, given his myopia, that’s not very far

 

[DC3]

Except he is already talking to NZ

Probably best politically not to create any unreal expectations of open slather and then over deliver with a surprise of a small concession of one or two countries.

Yes, maybe something like flights from Oz to Tassie, across a bit of water, but nearby.

 

[DC3]

Except he is already talking to NZ

Probably best politically not to create any unreal expectations of open slather and then over deliver with a surprise of a small concession of one or two countries.

Probably not good for travel to the US, which was to be my next trip, in a few months time. Anyway, I have major concerns with US travel for the ‘foreseeable future’.

 

[MEL_Traveller]

Nice article on the current status of vaccine development, including the claims coming out of Italy and Israel in the last day or two: Coronavirus vaccine update / COVID-19 cure, treatment news: Italy claims to develop first COVID-19 vaccine: Here is the current status of all the potential coronavirus vaccines

The Israeli claims didn't seem to make any headlines... only a brief mention in news(.com.au).

 

[p--and--t]

PM outlines roadmap for return of domestic, overseas travel

Travel within Australia is set to resume in stages, followed by a trans-Tasman 'travel bubble', and Pacific Island flights.

www.executivetraveller.com

 

[DC3]

PM outlines roadmap for return of domestic, overseas travel

Travel within Australia is set to resume in stages, followed by a trans-Tasman 'travel bubble', and Pacific Island flights.

www.executivetraveller.com

The Bubble. Reminds me of The Boy in the (Plastic) Bubble:

Google Image Result for https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/6/65/The_Boy_in_the_Plastic_Bubble.jpg

images.app.goo.gl

A variation on a theme (some real, and some not so)

 

[jakeseven7]

“ ....There's nothing on our radar which would see us opening up international travel in the foreseeable future."

forseeable future = a long time?

I’d be willing to put money on nothing for ‘regular people’ ex NZ and Pac Islands before Xmas

 

[yohy?!]

I'll put money on sooner than later.

Oz needs tourist dollars and opening up to travellers from countries with no community transmission should be fairly low risk

 

[Ric]

My next flight (certain to cancel/postpone) is May 26.... However, I am still hopeful about the flight after that ( August 04) . The word I hear is that Business travel will resume long before toursit travel.

I am moving my flight from June 8 to 1st week of Sept. Hope that there's light at the end of the tunnel then.

 

[LadyC]

I heard there is current expectation that international travel will not really kick off until the northern hemisphere spring/summer 2021.

 

[Virgin Bart]

I heard there is current expectation that international travel will not really kick off until the northern hemisphere spring/summer 2021.

I fear this is on the money.

 

[jakeseven7]

I heard there is current expectation that international travel will not really kick off until the northern hemisphere spring/summer 2021.

A friend who works in travel insurance says 2021 as well

 

[Gremlin]

I'll put money on sooner than later.

Oz needs tourist dollars and opening up to travellers from countries with no community transmission should be fairly low risk

Welcome to AFF @Yohy

If you look at both a) community transmission; and b) demand for Australia as a tourist destination; then I reckon NZ is the only viable contender in the short term.

The top four countries for inbound travel in 2019 supplied almost 50% of visitor numbers to Australia between them. These are NZ, China, USA and UK. I don't think we're opening the borders to the USA and UK any time soon and there is persistent doubt as to the accuracy of the numbers coming out of China. Whilst China may have no community transmission, it's certainly not as transparent as NZ in that regard.

Yes, there may be some small demand for point to point travel from Singapore and South Korea, say, but economically these countries (like everywhere else) have taken a hit so discretionary spend on tourism isn't going to be as much as it was last year regardless.

 

[Scarlett]

I’d suggest leisure and business travel will be back by October... but with 14 days isolation on return

This sort of sucks as someone who can't work from home.

Being able to WFH whilst in quarantine might be the new AFF class divide!

 

[drron]

Well South Korea has taken less of a hit than Australia and NZ.Then a quick hop to Taiwan which is the best performing country in this pandemic.

but my feeling now is most predictions in this thread are right.Regular OS flights to limited destinations will open up this year.many more destinations will open up in 2021 but if you are looking to when the level of 2019 travel returns likely to be well into the future.

And this will occur whether or not there is a vaccine.

 

[hannahmillys]

What do you think will be the next exemptions for international travel (not just to NZ)? For example will business travel be allowed back first? Would it be possible that they will allow citizens to leave with a negative test and if they do return they pay their own quarantine?
I want to leave Australia and don't plan on returning within the next 12 months. How can I leave Australia in the current COVID situation? Are there any possibilities I can start pursuing? My partner lives in Switzerland and we want to reunite anywhere possible. Or how could he come here? We are not married.

 

[Anna]

I think Australian citizens can apply to leave - I would assume the government's concern is really about when you want to come back, not that you want to leave, but I don't know that for sure. You would probably need to provide proof of intention to stay away 12 months, eg accommodation confirmation for 12 months overseas, proof of job overseas or something like that. I would think they would be on the lookout for people trying to sneak out for a holiday and then come back "early" pretending their plans changed.