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Message: <blockquote data-quote="HappyFlyerFamily" data-source="post: 2320021" data-attributes="member: 77883">[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-12-04/why-victoria-recording-higher-covid-cases-than-nsw/100671276[/URL]First few paraIf you're living in Victoria, odds are you've gotten those texts or messages from friends and relatives interstate.Perhaps on a day like Thursday, <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-12-02/victoria-records-new-covid-cases-and-deaths/100668150" target="_blank">when this week cases spiked above 1,400</a>, prompting them to reach out in concern."Oh no, that sucks. Fingers crossed for you, hope it gets better soon", or words to that effect.Maybe they've asked you, why is it that New South Wales has cases so low while Victoria's are still so high?But when you step back, both states have actually followed a fairly similar trajectory since their lockdowns eased.The key difference?When <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-11/nsw-records-496-new-cases-on-first-day-of-restrictions-eased/100528530" target="_blank">Sydney left its lockdown behind on October 11</a>, the state reported 496 new infections.When <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-22/victoria-records-new-covid-cases-and-deaths/100559046" target="_blank">Melbourne exited its lockdown ten days later</a>, Victoria reported 2,189 new cases.Since then, the seven-day average for new infections in both states has dropped, before stabilising into a plateau.</blockquote>

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