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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Ah. The one so terrifying as to necessitate border closures.
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    The COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Australia has begun

    The natural extension is that the border will be kept closed until the proportion of triple-dosed people is deemed sufficient. By which time people will well and truly be talking about the *next* booster.
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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    March 2020. Very different circumstances to now.
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    SQ offering status without flying

    Isn’t Silver as good as Gold if you only want the 12-month extension option?
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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Just because someone obviously knows more than you doesn’t make them a know-it-all.
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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Exactly. Allowing also for additional immunity due to natural infections. The modeling is little more than a foundation for discussion. By far the most heavily weighted input to the updated modeling at the time Australia reaches (say) 80% vaccination will be the observables between now and...
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    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Not sure why you're quoting me, unless you've succumbed to lyndastrawman disease. But why try to tweak one's personal and societal survival strategy for the "longer term" when (1) The difference between first-dose and second-dose protection is huge (2) Leaving a longer gap leaves you exposed...
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    You know you are a former frequent flyer when...

    I've forgotten the PINs for my Australian and Norwegian bank cards...
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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Agreed. Some sort of lockdown will almost certainly be required deep into October, so they'll need to find ways of making their policy settings more sustainably palatable. A change of tone will definitely be needed at some point.
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    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    A good explanation of how to properly interpret the Israeli data: https://www.covid-datascience.com/post/israeli-data-how-can-efficacy-vs-severe-disease-be-strong-when-60-of-hospitalized-are-vaccinated Basically, when a higher proportion of the elderly are vaccinated and it’s the elderly who...
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    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Three weeks or six weeks will make only a trivial difference to the amount of protection you have until the first booster arrives. So you may as well go for three weeks to get protected as soon as possible given that pretty much anything could happen in Queensland over the next couple of months.
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    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    Right. I’m just as stunned by the concept as I was four months ago:
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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Thanks, if I come across someone that coughing facile I’ll let them know.
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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    "pointed out" is just weasel language signifying that he said something that supports one of your views. "contended", "claimed", "argued", or something else along those lines would be much more intellectually honest, if that were to appeal to you at all.
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    General COVID-19 Vaccine Discussion

    I dispute not only your claim but also your qualifications to make it. That's the politest way I can think of putting it.
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    The COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Australia has begun

    What exactly do you expect to change once these magical base-10 thresholds are crossed? Would we be fretting over completely different levels if our ancestors had said “Cough the thumbs, let’s count on our fingers only”?
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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Reasonably certain that what's actually happening is much more important than what you choose to label it.
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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    “Complete abolishment” “to some degree”? Um, OK… It would be nice if you would stop mischaracterizing the “argument”. Nice, but it’s obviously never going to happen.
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    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Interesting narrative, but I deal with many people in Canberra on a daily basis and there has been a "living on borrowed time" mentality throughout. No one was under any illusions that the sieve on the border would keep Delta out.
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