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  1. sjk

    The COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Australia has begun

    Your logic is completely flawed, making your conclusion ridiculous. You need to allow for the existence of “vaccinated people with*out* so-called breakthrough infections”, of which there are many. Unless you have some weird agenda, of course.
  2. sjk

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    “Success” from here on in would be keeping the daily total below 600… the true number of cases is likely already above 300 a day.
  3. sjk

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    The median age is 38 and a sizable percentage of people older than that have been vaccinated, so there's nothing particularly surprising there.
  4. sjk

    COVID-19 at the Tokyo Olympics

    July 28 Tokyo: 3,177 Chiba: 577 Kanagawa: 1,051 Saitama: 870 All new records. State of emergency to be declared for Chiba, Kanagawa, and Saitama.
  5. sjk

    COVID-19 at the Tokyo Olympics

    Next day as tests start coming in from after the long weekend: Tokyo: 2,848 (new record by over 300) Chiba: 405 Saitama: 593 (new record) Kanagawa: 758 4,604 detected cases for Greater Tokyo (actual number likely to be much higher)
  6. sjk

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Right. Their 7-day moving average of 20 cases in a population of 1.4 billion is terrifying.
  7. sjk

    COVID-19 at the Tokyo Olympics

    Another photogenic day in IOC-occupied Japan… Meanwhile, back in the real world: Monday is generally the lowest day of the week for case numbers due to low testing numbers over the weekend. Previous Monday: Downward pressure should be even stronger than usual today after the four-day long...
  8. sjk

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    🐂💩♨️
  9. sjk

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Which is awesome as long as they’re detecting *all* cases, and not just the easy ones.
  10. sjk

    The COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Australia has begun

    More to immune response than just antibodies, and even then it’s not always a case of more is better.
  11. sjk

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Seven of our simulations using data through yesterday show that happening by mid-October... seven out of 10,000. By the only metrics that really count -- likelihood of infectious people coming in contact with others, and likelihood that not all positive cases are being detected "in time" if at...
  12. sjk

    COVID-19 at the Tokyo Olympics

    Today's COVID-19 cases (July 21, two days to the opening ceremony): 1,832 for Tokyo 1,205 for the three main neighboring prefectures, so over 3,000 in Greater Tokyo Lots of Delta in the mix. Eight new Games-related cases, with Residents of Japan comfortably taking today's round 6-2.
  13. sjk

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    A perfect Freudian slip.
  14. sjk

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    I agree that current numbers are indicative of a reasonably well-controlled outbreak. The only problem is where the standard has been set, and that it no longer appears achievable.
  15. sjk

    Predictions of when international flights may resume/bans lifted

    I was also referring to the continuing fallout over the school killing, which has upset many of my Singapore-based team.
  16. sjk

    Australian state border restrictions

    We see very little chance of NSW getting back to a string of zeros. And even Victoria might struggle if things don’t go perfectly from here. So how long might (say) WA stay closed to NSW?
  17. sjk

    Predictions of when international flights may resume/bans lifted

    Today has been a bad mental health day in .sg
  18. sjk

    Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

    Given the data coming out of Israel, Apple should look at getting into the iStay ankle bracelet sector…
  19. sjk

    COVID-19 at the Tokyo Olympics

    Today's COVID-19 cases: 1,387 for Tokyo 946 for the three main neighboring prefectures Games-related cases up to 71:
  20. sjk

    COVID-19 at the Tokyo Olympics

    Of course. The whole situation reminds me of being at the zoo in Canberra and watching kangaroos talk to each other through the external fence. Barring a minor miracle, yesterday's case numbers were the lowest we'll see until after the Games: 727 for Tokyo 845 for the three main neighboring...
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