Recent content by trevella

Ah. The one so terrifying as to necessitate border closures.

The natural extension is that the border will be kept closed until the proportion of triple-dosed people is deemed sufficient. By which time people will well and truly be talking about the *next* booster.

March 2020. Very different circumstances to now.

Isn’t Silver as good as Gold if you only want the 12-month extension option?

Just because someone obviously knows more than you doesn’t make them a know-it-all.

Exactly. Allowing also for additional immunity due to natural infections. The modeling is little more than a foundation for discussion. By far the most heavily weighted input to the updated modeling at the time Australia reaches (say) 80% vaccination will be the observables between now and...

Not sure why you're quoting me, unless you've succumbed to lyndastrawman disease. But why try to tweak one's personal and societal survival strategy for the "longer term" when (1) The difference between first-dose and second-dose protection is huge (2) Leaving a longer gap leaves you exposed...

😱

I've forgotten the PINs for my Australian and Norwegian bank cards...

Agreed. Some sort of lockdown will almost certainly be required deep into October, so they'll need to find ways of making their policy settings more sustainably palatable. A change of tone will definitely be needed at some point.

A good explanation of how to properly interpret the Israeli data: https://www.covid-datascience.com/post/israeli-data-how-can-efficacy-vs-severe-disease-be-strong-when-60-of-hospitalized-are-vaccinated Basically, when a higher proportion of the elderly are vaccinated and it’s the elderly who...

Three weeks or six weeks will make only a trivial difference to the amount of protection you have until the first booster arrives. So you may as well go for three weeks to get protected as soon as possible given that pretty much anything could happen in Queensland over the next couple of months.

Right. I’m just as stunned by the concept as I was four months ago:

Thanks, if I come across someone that coughing facile I’ll let them know.

"pointed out" is just weasel language signifying that he said something that supports one of your views. "contended", "claimed", "argued", or something else along those lines would be much more intellectually honest, if that were to appeal to you at all.