Recent content by tgh | Australian Frequent Flyer
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Recent content by tgh

  1. tgh

    China (COVID-19) Respiratory illness - Effect on Travel

    There are some as yet unexplained aberrations in the spread of the virus that give some hope of redemption. We understand it's biological construction but assume similar functional behaviour to other corona virii It may be that the incubation period from infection to symptomatic (or testing...
  2. tgh

    China (COVID-19) Respiratory illness - Effect on Travel

    Not a traditional scientific method of prediction Indeed….it was/is just a possible outcome based upon information /studies that appeared relevant. The infection rate is the key… we will have a better idea how it spreads from locations where the infection reporting is believable. So far we...
  3. tgh

    China (COVID-19) Respiratory illness - Effect on Travel

    I am just playing pin the tail on the donkey. You are saying I am completely wrong.. thats fine, I hope you are right. What are your numbers and timeline so we can compare scores after the game is over….
  4. tgh

    China (COVID-19) Respiratory illness - Effect on Travel

    Time will tell and we can all hope that I am completely wrong. Meantime there is an ostrich option or a boy scout option...
  5. tgh

    Cruising choices with an active Pandemic

    It has passed my mind that RCI/Silversea may find some weasel word games excuse to avoid refunds. IF the pandemic is formally announced in the next 10 days, one assumes they will have to cancel almost everything and that will trigger refund quantum's that they simply may not have. My next call...
  6. tgh

    China (COVID-19) Respiratory illness - Effect on Travel

    reality ?? AU pop 24 million ( mostly living in clusters ) Hypothetical infection rate over the next 16 > 20 weeks ? .. let us say a very conservative 40% say 10 million…. Consider the current total CFR (based on very recent figures) of 2.3% … these deaths all in the next four...
  7. tgh

    China (COVID-19) Respiratory illness - Effect on Travel

    Here.. there.. and (sadly).. (almost).. everywhere A tourist hotel on the Canary Island of Tenerife has been placed in quarantine after an Italian doctor staying there tested positive for the Covid-19. The press office for the town of Adeje confirmed that the restrictions are in place at the...
  8. tgh

    China (COVID-19) Respiratory illness - Effect on Travel

    Today Japan +1 ergo the magic ( Olympic) solution Stop testing and the numbers stagnate.. bingo … nnnnoooo prroooblems…………yet
  9. tgh

    Cruising choices with an active Pandemic

    Logically once (if) the Pandemic is in full swing there will be little point in quarantine or indeed screening because everyone can be presumed a carrier. How to run a cruise anywhere under these circumstances will be … interesting….. There is no information at all about re-infection. Are folks...
  10. tgh

    AFF Member Stock Discussion

    The market is a volatile creature so I would not be at all surprised to see us back at 6000 or even less.. ( I remember when that was good… ) I am along view investor and see the virus as an excuse for a decent correction.. after which it will (should) all come roaring back. I will try to pick...
  11. tgh

    RTW to no-where in particular

    funny/sad how the world has changed…. Insta everything and all to be known is just a web search away.. but it's not the same…. I could easily get lost in a library, time stands still as the past unfolds….. anyway back to normal programming…..
  12. tgh

    RTW to no-where in particular

    Fantastic stuff….. another book to read.. sigh I am not a big fan of cities but there is something about New York
  13. tgh

    Qantas law unto themselves - don't waste your time with ACA complaint

    the rest of your post is worthless Indeed…….and pointless also You can lead a horse et al …. good luck..
  14. tgh

    China (COVID-19) Respiratory illness - Effect on Travel

    The next big hit will probably come from updated global modelling of the infection rate , it may (or may not..) cause a bit of panic. Hard to see any big global gathering happening in the near future.
  15. tgh

    Qantas law unto themselves - don't waste your time with ACA complaint

    The only thing a hard case airline like Qantas understands is material brand damage -v- the rectification cost. As a media neophyte you can (perhaps) now understand the power of words and the possible consequences. The pointless Trump slight saw you lose almost every right wing reader here (the...
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